Southampton vs Fulham predictions & betting tips

St. Mary’s is set to host a Premier League match this Saturday as Southampton face Fulham in a game of contrasting circumstances. Southampton, currently at the bottom of the table with only 11 points, are already relegated but need one more point from their remaining five games to move clear of Derby County's record worst ever EPL points tally. Fulham, on the other hand, are comfortably positioned in 9th place with 48 points and aim to secure a stable mid-table finish despite recent away struggles.

Southampton’s performances at home have been a significant concern, with just one win in 16 matches and an average of 0.92 goals scored per game. Their ongoing 10-match winless streak underscores the urgency for improvement. Meanwhile, Fulham enter this match following three consecutive away defeats, but their leading scorer, Raul Jimenez, with 10 goals, remains a potent threat, especially in the latter stages of games, where Fulham have scored 34% of their goals.

Historically, this fixture has been closely contested, with Southampton narrowly leading the head-to-head record with seven wins compared to Fulham’s six in their last 21 meetings. St. Mary’s has traditionally been a challenging venue for Fulham, who have secured only one win in their last nine visits. However, recent form slightly favours Fulham, as they have lost just one of their last five encounters against Southampton.

Given Southampton’s defensive struggles—they have conceded in their last 14 matches—and Fulham’s inconsistent away form, this match could be decided by the smallest of margins. A low-scoring game seems probable, but the stakes are incredibly high for the hosts. Will Southampton rise to the challenge, or will Fulham capitalise on their vulnerabilities? The result could significantly impact both teams’ seasons.

Southampton - Fulham Key Facts

• Southampton have not won in their last 10 matches and have a dismal home record of 1-2-13 this season, indicating a significant decline in form that punters should consider when evaluating their chances against Fulham.

• Fulham have lost their last 3 away matches, but have only lost 1 of their last 5 encounters against Southampton in all competitions, suggesting they may have a psychological edge despite their recent struggles on the road.

• With the fact that the average number of goals in meetings between Southampton and Fulham is just 1.8, and with both teams failing to score in their last match, a potential low-scoring affair could be on the cards. Nonetheless, historical records aside, the current form of the two this season, particularly Southampton defensively, points to goals.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

The recommendation for "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by an 82.06% probability, making it a statistically robust option. Fulham have averaged 1.46 goals per match on their travels this season, while Southampton have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 14 fixtures, exposing significant defensive vulnerabilities. With both sides prone to scoring and conceding, the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter is strong, offering excellent value for this market.

Secondary Bet:Away Win @ 13/20

The secondary bet of a Fulham "away win" is supported by their superior form and Southampton's ongoing struggles. Fulham have a 55.47% chance of victory, further reinforced by their record of just one defeat in their last five meetings with Southampton. Meanwhile, Southampton's woeful home record of 1-2-13 this season highlights their difficulties on their own pitch. Although Fulham have faced recent away setbacks, the combination of Southampton's poor form and Fulham's overall edge makes this a solid betting option. Both selections align with current trends and statistical evidence, presenting strong value for punters.