Nottm Forest vs Man City predictions & betting tips

The stage is set for a thrilling FA Cup clash as Nottingham Forest host Manchester City on Sunday, 27 April 2025, at 16:30. This high-stakes encounter pits Forest’s underdog spirit against City’s domestic dominance, promising drama and intensity. For Forest, it’s an opportunity to defy the odds, while City aim to further cement their supremacy in English football.

Historically, City have had the upper hand, winning eight of their last 17 meetings. However, Forest’s most recent victory over City offers a glimmer of hope and a psychological boost. The goal difference of 31-19 in City’s favour highlights their attacking firepower, but Forest’s resilience at home cannot be underestimated. With a home scoring average of 1.32 goals and a 71% win rate when leading 1-0 at home, Forest’s ability to strike early could prove crucial.

Current form, however, favours the visitors. City arrive in scintillating shape, winning four of their last five matches, while Forest have struggled for consistency, managing just two wins in the same period. City’s attacking efficiency, averaging 1.6 goals per game against Forest, will undoubtedly test the home side’s defensive resolve. Yet, the passionate Forest supporters and the team’s determination to seize their FA Cup moment could help level the playing field in this knockout battle.

Key players will be pivotal, with Forest’s talisman and City’s star performer expected to influence proceedings. As the underdog hosts look to rise to the occasion, the question remains: can Forest defy the odds and make history, or will City’s dominance prevail once again? Fans and neutrals alike eagerly await the answer in what promises to be an unforgettable FA Cup showdown.

Nottm Forest - Man City Key Facts

• Manchester City have won 8 out of the last 17 encounters against Nottingham Forest, with a goal difference of 31-19, indicating their dominance in this fixture and suggesting a strong likelihood of victory for punters backing City.

• Nottingham Forest have only managed to win 1 of their last 5 meetings with Manchester City, highlighting their struggle against City and making a bet on City's success a potentially wise choice.

• Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 6 matches overall, showcasing their current form and resilience, which could influence betting decisions in their favour for upcoming fixtures.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5

The recommendation for over 2.5 goals is underpinned by robust statistical evidence, with predictive models assigning a 77.5% probability to this outcome. While historical clashes between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City have averaged 2 goals per match, the attacking firepower of Manchester City cannot be overlooked. They boast an impressive 1.79 goals-per-game average in away fixtures this season. Nottingham Forest, though more modest with a home scoring average of 1.32 goals, could still contribute to the tally, especially given City’s tendency to dominate offensively. This combination of factors makes over 2.5 goals a compelling choice.

Secondary bet: Manchester City to win @ 7/10

Backing Manchester City to win at 7/10 is equally well-supported. With a 56.94% probability of victory and 8 wins in their last 17 meetings with Nottingham Forest, City’s dominance is clear. They are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, highlighting their excellent form ahead of this FA Cup semifinal. While Nottingham Forest have occasionally caused problems for City at home, the visitors’ superior quality and consistency, coupled with their historical edge, make them strong favourites to secure the win in this crucial fixture.