Lazio vs Parma predictions & betting tips

The Stadio Olimpico is set to host a pivotal Serie A match on Monday, 28 April 2025, at 19:45, as Lazio faces Parma in a game with significant implications for both teams. Lazio, currently sixth with 59 points, are vying for European qualification, while Parma, positioned 15th with 31 points, are battling to avoid relegation. The contrasting form and ambitions of these teams add to the high stakes of this encounter.

Lazio's recent form (W W D L W) demonstrates their resilience, while Parma's series of draws (W D D D D) highlights their struggle to convert opportunities into victories. Home advantage could play a crucial role for Lazio, who remain unbeaten in their last seven matches at the Stadio Olimpico, averaging 1.96 goals per game. Conversely, Parma has faced challenges on the road, failing to secure a win in their last ten away fixtures and averaging just 0.91 goals per match.

Key players for this match include Taty Castellanos, Lazio's leading scorer with nine goals, and Ange Bonny, Parma's top scorer with six goals. Castellanos will aim to exploit Parma's defensive vulnerabilities, while Bonny carries the visitors' hopes of breaking their away-game struggles. The head-to-head record favors Lazio, who have won three of their last four meetings with Parma and have not lost to them at home since 2009.

A victory for Lazio would solidify their position for European qualification, while a loss or draw could exacerbate Parma's relegation concerns. As the battle for survival and European aspirations unfolds, the performances of Castellanos and Bonny will be instrumental in determining the outcome of this high-stakes match.

Lazio - Parma Key Facts

• Lazio Rome have an impressive home record against Parma Calcio, winning 19 of their last 27 encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.

• Parma Calcio are struggling significantly, having not won any of their last 10 away matches, indicating a lack of form that could heavily influence the outcome of this fixture.

• Lazio Rome have not lost to Parma Calcio in their last 10 home meetings, further solidifying their status as the likely victors and providing a compelling reason for punters to consider backing them.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Home Win @ 8/15

Lazio’s impressive home record against Parma makes a Home Win the standout selection. The hosts have triumphed in 19 of their last 27 home fixtures against Parma and are unbeaten in their previous 10 meetings on home turf. Parma’s struggles away from home further bolster this prediction, as they have failed to secure a single victory in their last 10 away matches. While Lazio have shown some inconsistency of late, their historical dominance—28 wins in 53 encounters—and an unbeaten run in their last seven home matches provide strong backing for this bet.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

For the secondary bet, Over 2.5 Goals presents excellent value, supported by the attacking patterns of both sides. Lazio’s home matches average 1.96 goals scored, while Parma concede an average of 2 goals per away fixture. Recent Lazio games have featured an average of 3 goals, and although Parma’s away scoring rate is modest at 0.91 goals per match, Lazio’s attacking prowess combined with Parma’s defensive frailties suggests a high-scoring encounter. At odds of 8/11, this option aligns well with the statistical trends and match dynamics, making it a solid complementary wager.