Verona vs Cagliari predictions & betting tips

The relegation battle intensifies as Hellas Verona host Cagliari at the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi on Monday, 28 April 2025, at 19:45. With only two points separating the teams, this Serie A match holds significant importance. Verona, positioned 14th with 32 points, and Cagliari, in 16th with 30 points, are both eager for a crucial victory to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Both teams enter the match in challenging form—Verona have not won in their last four games, while Cagliari have failed to secure an away victory in their previous seven attempts. Verona's home performance has been underwhelming, with the team failing to score in nine of their 16 matches this season. Similarly, Cagliari have struggled on the road, achieving only two wins throughout the campaign.

Despite these difficulties, both teams have demonstrated a tendency for late-game action, with Verona scoring 30% of their goals and Cagliari 28% in the final 15 minutes of matches. This propensity for late drama could lead to an exciting conclusion, where discipline will be crucial—especially for Verona, who lead Serie A in red cards.

Historically, Verona have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last seven home meetings with Cagliari. The most common scoreline in these encounters is a 2-1 victory for Verona, with Cagliari's last win at the Bentegodi occurring in 2006. Key players such as Casper Tengstedt, Verona's top scorer with six goals, and Roberto Piccoli, leading Cagliari with eight, are expected to play significant roles in determining the outcome.

As relegation looms, this match could be pivotal for both teams' seasons. Verona's historical advantage and Cagliari's poor away form might provide the hosts with a slight edge. However, in a high-stakes game like this, unpredictability is a defining factor. Fans can anticipate a fiercely contested match where every goal, tackle, and decision will be crucial in shaping the fate of these struggling teams.

Verona - Cagliari Key Facts

• Hellas Verona have an impressive home record against Cagliari Calcio, remaining unbeaten in their last seven encounters at home, which significantly boosts their chances of winning this match for potential punters.

• Cagliari Calcio have struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last seven away matches, indicating a lack of form that could influence betting decisions in favour of Hellas Verona.

• Historically, Hellas Verona have won 11 of the last 27 meetings against Cagliari Calcio, with a positive goal difference of 34-29, suggesting a consistent upper hand that bettors should consider.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 81/50

Hellas Verona and Cagliari meet in a crucial fixture, with both sides eager to end their respective winless runs. This sets the stage for an open, attacking match, increasing the likelihood of goals. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 66.3%, supported by Verona’s home scoring average of 1.17 goals and Cagliari’s 0.86 away, combining for 2.03 goals per match. While their historical meetings have averaged just 1.6 goals, recent form and the urgency of the occasion suggest a higher-scoring affair, making the primary bet excellent value.

Secondary bet: Home Win @ 17/10

The secondary bet focuses on Verona’s strong home record against Cagliari, having won 7 of their last 13 encounters on home soil. Cagliari have struggled in Verona, failing to secure a victory in their last 7 visits, and their overall away form remains poor this season. Despite Verona’s recent difficulties, their superior Serie A campaign and home advantage make them a solid choice for a win, particularly at these favourable odds.