St James’ Park will host a crucial Premier League showdown in the race for Champions League football this Sunday as Newcastle United take on Everton in the final gameweek of the domestic season. Newcastle, sitting fourth with 66 points, need to better the results of their rivals if they hope to lock down a place in the top five. Meanwhile, Everton, currently 13th on 45 points, have nothing to play for. With contrasting objectives and form, this promises to be a high-stakes encounter for the hosts and one which should prove pivotal in the race for Europe.
Newcastle’s formidable home form has been a key factor in their impressive campaign. The Magpies have recorded six consecutive league wins at St James’ Park, averaging 2.19 goals per game on home soil. Alexander Isak, with 23 goals this season, has been instrumental in their attacking success. With a +22 goal difference and momentum firmly on their side, Newcastle appear well-equipped to take another step towards Europe’s elite competition.
Everton, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency on the road. The Toffees have managed just two wins in their last five matches and have scored only 10 goals in 18 away fixtures. Iliman Ndiaye, their leading scorer with nine goals, will need to deliver a standout performance to give his side a fighting chance. Defensive frailties have also been a concern, and Everton must tighten up to withstand Newcastle’s relentless attacking threat.
The historical record adds intrigue, with both teams winning 23 of their last 60 meetings. However, Newcastle’s recent dominance at St James’ Park has shifted the balance, as they remain unbeaten against Everton in their last four home encounters. The reverse fixture ended in a goalless draw, but with so much on the line, this clash is unlikely to lack drama. A win for Newcastle would confirm their Champions League spot, while Everton could play kingmaker and condemn Eddie Howe's side to the Europa League places.
Newcastle United - Everton Key Facts
Newcastle United have an impressive home record against Everton, remaining unbeaten in their last four encounters at St James' Park, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.
Newcastle have won five consecutive home matches in the Premier League, showcasing their current form and making them a reliable option for punters looking to back the home side.
Everton have struggled on the road, failing to score in eight of their 18 away matches this season, indicating a significant weakness that could be exploited by Newcastle's defence.
Newcastle vs Everton Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Home Win @ 1/3
Newcastle United’s formidable home form positions them as strong favourites to claim victory against Everton. The Magpies have won six consecutive Premier League matches at St James' Park and are unbeaten in their last four home fixtures against Everton. Recent form further bolsters confidence in a "home win", with Newcastle triumphing in five of their last six matches. Statistically, they hold a 70% probability of securing the three points, and their historical dominance over Everton—16 wins in their last 30 home meetings—adds further weight to this recommendation.
Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15
The secondary bet of "over 2.5 goals" is supported by Newcastle’s attacking consistency and the fixture’s scoring trends. Newcastle average 2.19 goals per match at home and have found the net in 11 consecutive games, underlining their offensive strength. While Everton have struggled for goals on the road, their historical scoring record against Newcastle and an average of 2.2 goals across their previous meetings suggest both sides could contribute to the tally. With an 81% probability of the match exceeding 2.5 goals, this bet aligns well with the expected attacking output and offers solid value.
