The Estadio de Mendizorroza will host a LaLiga clash on Wednesday, 14 May 2025, as Deportivo Alaves face Valencia at 18:00. With Alaves precariously placed in 17th, hovering just above the relegation zone, this fixture is critical for their survival hopes. Valencia, meanwhile, sit comfortably in 10th and arrive brimming with confidence, riding an impressive nine-match unbeaten streak.
Alaves will look to their strong home record against Valencia for inspiration, having avoided defeat in their last six meetings at Mendizorroza. However, their struggles in front of goal remain a pressing concern, with the Basque side failing to score in eight of their 17 home matches this season. In contrast, Valencia have been clinical, finding the net in each of their last 10 outings. Timing could prove decisive, as Alaves tend to score 29% of their goals late in matches, while Valencia are most dangerous early in the second half.
Key players are likely to shape the outcome. Kike Garcia leads the line for Alaves with 12 goals this season, while Hugo Duro has been equally influential for Valencia, netting 10 times. Both strikers will be pivotal in a match where defensive frailties are evident—Alaves and Valencia have goal differences of -12 and -8, respectively. With Alaves desperate for points and Valencia eager to extend their unbeaten run, the psychological battle could be as crucial as the tactical one.
CD Alaves - Valencia Key Facts
Valencia are currently in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches. Additionally, they have not suffered a loss in their previous 6 away games, showcasing their strong performance on the road.
CD Alaves, on the other hand, have maintained an impressive record against Valencia when playing at home, remaining undefeated in their last 6 encounters. This suggests a psychological edge in this fixture.
In the previous season, CD Alaves secured victories in both matches against Valencia, with 1-0 wins at home and away. This demonstrates their capability to achieve favorable results against this opponent, which could influence betting considerations.
CD Alaves vs Valencia Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 13/10
The primary recommendation of over 2.5 goals is underpinned by a 61.87% statistical probability, making it a compelling option for this fixture. Valencia have been prolific in front of goal, finding the net in each of their last 10 matches, which strongly supports the expectation of a high-scoring affair. Although historical meetings between Alaves and Valencia average just 1.8 goals per match, the current context shifts the narrative. Alaves, battling to avoid relegation, are likely to adopt an aggressive approach, increasing the likelihood of goals on both ends of the pitch.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 11/10
The secondary bet of an Alaves home win is supported by their solid record against Valencia on home soil. Alaves have won 5 of their last 14 home encounters with Valencia and are unbeaten in their last 6 meetings at home. Valencia’s dismal away form this season (2 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses) further highlights their vulnerability on the road. With Alaves desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone and buoyed by their historical success against Valencia, a home win presents strong value for punters.
