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Como vs Genoa predictions & betting tips

Uncover why Como 1907’s league-best scoring surge after halftime and Genoa’s late-game firepower could be the key to unlocking your smartest Serie A bets for Sunday’s showdown at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 05:05, 25 Apr 2025

Who will win?

Como
X
Genoa

This Sunday, attention turns to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia as Como host Genoa in a crucial Serie A encounter. With just one point separating the sides—Como sit 12th on 39 points, while Genoa are 13th with 38—the stakes are high. Como come into the match on a three-game winning streak, showcasing excellent form, while Genoa’s inconsistency, with only two wins in their last five outings, adds pressure to their campaign. Both teams are desperate for points to climb the table and steer clear of the relegation battle.

Como’s home form could be the deciding factor, as they’ve been strong at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, averaging 1.58 goals per match and remaining unbeaten in their last four games. In contrast, Genoa’s away struggles are evident, with no wins in their last eight road matches and a modest scoring average of 0.8 goals per game. The home crowd’s support could further boost Como’s chances against a Genoa side searching for a turnaround.

Key players are likely to shape the outcome. Assane Diao, Como’s top scorer with eight goals, has been pivotal in their attack, while Nico Paz’s six assists underline his creative influence. For Genoa, Andrea Pinamonti, also on eight goals, remains their main attacking threat, supported by Aaron Martin’s four assists. This clash of playmakers and finishers could be decisive, with both teams relying on their stars to step up.

Historically, this fixture has been evenly matched, with three of the last seven meetings ending in draws, including a 1-1 stalemate earlier this season. However, Como’s current form and home advantage suggest they could edge this contest. A victory would consolidate their mid-table position, while Genoa face the challenge of overcoming their away woes to avoid slipping closer to the relegation zone.

Como - Genoa Key Facts

  • Como 1907 are currently unbeaten in their last four matches and have a winning streak of three in Serie A, indicating strong form that could influence their performance against Genoa CFC.

  • Genoa CFC have not won any of their last eight away matches, which raises concerns about their ability to secure points on the road and makes them a risky bet for punters.

  • In their head-to-head encounters, Como 1907 have scored an average of 1.2 goals against Genoa CFC, while Genoa CFC averages 1.4 goals against Como 1907, suggesting a competitive scoring dynamic that could lead to a high-scoring match.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Home Win @ 5/6

Como’s impressive form and home advantage make them a compelling choice for victory in this fixture. They are currently on a three-match winning streak in Serie A and have found the net in each of their last ten matches. At home, Como average 1.58 goals per game, underlining their attacking strength. In contrast, Genoa are struggling on their travels, failing to secure a win in their last eight away matches. With a calculated 54.94% probability of a Como win and odds of 5/6, this bet offers strong value for punters.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5

The secondary bet on over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both historical data and current form. Matches between these two sides average 2.6 goals, with Como and Genoa consistently finding the net in their head-to-head encounters—Como averaging 1.2 goals and Genoa 1.4 goals per meeting. Como’s attacking prowess, particularly in the latter stages of matches, combined with Genoa’s defensive frailties, further bolsters the 65.25% probability of a high-scoring affair. At odds of 6/5, this market presents an enticing opportunity for those seeking value.

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