The Sardegna Arena sets the stage for a high-stakes Serie A clash as Cagliari host Venezia on Sunday, 18 May 2025, at 19:45. With Cagliari sitting 14th on 33 points and safely mid-table, this match is all about Venezia in 17th with 29 points, for whom the urgency for points is palpable. Adding to the tension, Cagliari are winless in their last five meetings with Venezia, a psychological barrier they must overcome if they are to halt Venezia's quest for survival.
Recent form highlights contrasting fortunes. Cagliari have faltered with four defeats in their last five matches, while Venezia have shown signs of resurgence, picking up two wins in the same period. However, Venezia’s woeful away record—19 matches without a victory—remains a glaring vulnerability. Cagliari, averaging 1.32 goals per home game, will aim to exploit this, though their tendency to rely on late goals could backfire if they fall behind early. For Venezia, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia will need to step up to sustain their slight momentum.
The historical rivalry between these sides has been closely contested. In 18 encounters, Venezia hold a narrow edge with six wins to Cagliari’s four, while eight matches have ended in draws. At the Sardegna Arena, the most frequent outcome is a 1-1 stalemate, underlining the balance in their clashes. Venezia’s recent dominance in head-to-head meetings, including a win in their last encounter, heaps additional pressure on the hosts to deliver in front of their supporters.
Key players are likely to determine the outcome. Cagliari’s Roberto Piccoli, with nine goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Venezia’s defence. Meanwhile, Nicolussi Caviglia and Gaetano Oristanio must find a way to overcome their team’s away struggles. With Serie A survival hanging in the balance, this promises to be a fiercely contested encounter.
Cagliari - Venezia Key Facts
Venezia have a strong historical advantage over Cagliari, winning 6 out of the last 18 encounters, which includes a recent victory in their last meeting, making them a potentially safer bet for punters.
Cagliari have failed to win any of their last 5 Serie A matches against Venezia, indicating a concerning trend for their performance against this opponent.
Venezia have not won any of their last 19 away matches, highlighting their struggles on the road and suggesting that betting on a home win for Cagliari could be a viable option despite their own form issues.
Cagliari vs Venezia Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5
The primary recommendation of "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by a robust statistical projection, which assigns a 70.86% probability to this outcome. Historical encounters between Cagliari and Venezia have averaged 2.2 goals per match, with Cagliari netting 1.32 goals per home fixture and Venezia conceding 1.4 goals on average in this matchup. Both sides are in dire need of points, which is likely to result in an open and attacking contest, further increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring affair.
Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 8/5
The secondary bet on a Cagliari "home win" is supported by their recent attacking consistency, having found the net in five consecutive matches. Additionally, they hold a slight historical advantage at home against Venezia, securing three wins in their last eight meetings. Venezia’s woeful away form, with no wins in their previous 19 away fixtures, adds significant weight to this selection. While Cagliari have struggled in recent Serie A clashes with Venezia, their improved offensive momentum and home advantage make this a strong secondary option.
