Chelsea vs Everton predictions & betting tips

Stamford Bridge hosts a crucial Premier League showdown this Saturday as Chelsea take on Everton in a fixture that could significantly shape their season. Chelsea, currently sixth on 57 points, are pushing for European qualification, while Everton, sitting 13th with 38 points, are safe from any relegation worries thanks to their fantastic form since the return of David Moyes. Both sides come into this clash following defeats in their previous matches. With Chelsea boasting a strong home record of 9-5-2 and Everton struggling on their travels, the hosts will fancy their chances.

Chelsea’s hopes of securing European football rest heavily on their impressive home form, where they average 2.42 goals per game. Cole Palmer has been pivotal to their attacking success, leading the team with 14 goals this season. His clinical finishing could be decisive against an Everton defence that has faltered away from Goodison Park. Chelsea’s dominance in this fixture is undeniable, having gone unbeaten in their last 14 home meetings with Everton, further reinforcing their advantage on home soil.

For Everton, the task is daunting, but with survival already in the bag, they could play with added freedom and cause Chelsea some problems. The Toffees have managed just one win in their last 14 visits to Stamford Bridge and average a mere 0.95 goals per game on the road. Iliman Ndiaye, their top scorer with seven goals, will need to deliver a standout performance to give Everton any hope of an upset. Notably, Everton’s last away victory at Chelsea came back in 1994, highlighting the scale of the challenge they face as they look to defy history.

This match is about more than just three points—it could be a defining moment in the season of Enzo Maresca's team. Chelsea aim to strengthen their European ambitions, while Everton could only be motivated to overturn their poor record at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea - Everton Key Facts

• Chelsea have an impressive home record against Everton, winning 21 of their last 36 encounters at Stamford Bridge, with a dominant goal difference of 75-27, making them strong favourites for this match.

• Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 14 home matches against Everton, which highlights their consistent superiority in this fixture and suggests a high likelihood of securing points.

• Chelsea score an average of 2.42 goals at home, while Everton only manage 0.95 goals away, indicating a significant disparity in attacking prowess that could influence the match outcome.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 3/5

Chelsea’s impressive record against Everton at Stamford Bridge makes a "home win" the standout selection. The Blues have triumphed in 21 of their last 36 home fixtures against Everton and remain unbeaten in their previous 14 meetings on this ground. This season, Chelsea have been formidable at home, recording 9 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats. In contrast, Everton have struggled on their travels, managing an average of just 0.95 goals per match. Chelsea’s attacking strength is evident, with an average of 2.42 goals scored per home game, and they’ve started strongly in 41% of their matches by leading at half-time, compared to Everton’s 26%. At odds of 3/5, backing a home win offers solid value given these trends.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11

For a secondary bet, "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by both historical data and current form. Meetings between these sides average 2.6 goals, and Chelsea’s last two clashes with Everton ended 6-0 and 2-0. Chelsea’s potent attack, averaging 2.42 goals per home game, is likely to exploit Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities, with the Toffees conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away fixture. While Everton’s struggles in front of goal away from home add a slight element of risk, the odds of 10/11 for over 2.5 goals remain appealing, especially with Chelsea expected to dominate the scoreline.