Cagliari vs Fiorentina predictions & betting tips

Cagliari and Fiorentina are set for a crucial Serie A showdown at the Sardegna Arena this Monday, 21 April 2025. Cagliari, languishing in 15th place with 30 points from 32 matches, are embroiled in a fierce relegation battle. In contrast, Fiorentina, sitting 8th on 53 points, are chasing European qualification. With both teams under immense pressure to deliver, this clash promises high drama.

Cagliari’s struggles this season are reflected in their -15 goal difference and inconsistent form, with their recent record reading L D W L D. Roberto Piccoli leads their scoring charts with a modest eight goals, highlighting their lack of attacking firepower. Their home form offers little encouragement, having failed to score in seven of their 16 matches at the Sardegna Arena. As they prepare to face an in-form Fiorentina side unbeaten in six games, Cagliari will need to overcome their defensive frailties to stand a chance.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, arrive with momentum and confidence. A +17 goal difference underlines their attacking strength, led by Moise Kean, who has struck 17 goals this campaign. The visitors also hold a psychological edge, having dominated this fixture in recent years with four wins from the last five meetings and just one defeat in their last nine encounters with Cagliari. Their consistency and ability to perform under pressure make them strong favourites to claim another vital victory.

For Cagliari, this match is a potential turning point in their fight for survival. A win could reignite their hopes and provide a much-needed morale boost. However, Fiorentina’s superior form and attacking threat suggest they are well-equipped to extend their dominance and bolster their European ambitions. With so much at stake, the Sardegna Arena is set for a gripping encounter as both sides battle to achieve their contrasting goals.

Cagliari - Fiorentina Key Facts

• Primary bet: Match Result Fiorentina to Win @ 1.80

• ACF Fiorentina have demonstrated a strong performance against Cagliari Calcio, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters, including both matches last season. This recent dominance suggests a high probability of Fiorentina securing another victory.

• Secondary bet: Fiorentina to Keep a Clean Sheet @ 2.50

• Cagliari Calcio's struggles in attack, failing to score in 7 of their 16 home matches this season, indicate a potential for Fiorentina to maintain a clean sheet during this match.

• Additional consideration: Over 2.5 Goals in the Match @ 2.10

• With Fiorentina averaging 2.2 goals per match against Cagliari and the latter averaging only 0.6 goals, there is a significant disparity in scoring potential, making a high-scoring game a plausible outcome.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Away Win @ 6/4

Fiorentina’s recent dominance over Cagliari makes the away win an excellent value bet. Fiorentina have triumphed in four of their last five meetings with Cagliari, who have failed to win any of their last three encounters. Adding to this, Fiorentina are on a strong run of form, unbeaten in their last six matches, while Cagliari are struggling, averaging just 0.6 goals per game against Fiorentina. With a calculated 46.72% probability of an away win, the 6/4 odds present outstanding value for punters.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5

The secondary bet of over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both historical data and current scoring trends. Fixtures between these sides average 2.8 goals, with Fiorentina netting 2.2 goals per game against Cagliari historically. Offensively, both teams have shown potential, with Cagliari averaging 1.33 goals per match at home and Fiorentina scoring 1.72 goals per match away. With a 75.2% probability for over 2.5 goals, the 6/5 odds offer strong value for those expecting an open, high-scoring encounter.