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Blackburn vs Millwall predictions & betting tips

Uncover why Millwall's remarkable climb from 20th to 9th place this season makes them favorites against Blackburn at Ewood Park in this crucial Championship clash.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 12:29, 17 Apr 2025

Ewood Park is set to host an important Championship match this Friday as Blackburn Rovers face Millwall in a contest for mid-table supremacy. With Blackburn in 11th place on 46 points and Millwall in 13th with 45 points, the outcome of this game could significantly impact both teams' standings and ambitions. Blackburn aim to end an eight-game winless streak, while Millwall, with three wins in their last five matches, seek to capitalise on their opponent's struggles. This match promises to be a highly competitive encounter.

The recent form of both teams highlights their contrasting fortunes. Blackburn's record of W D L L L reflects their challenges, especially at home, where they have conceded in each of their last eight matches. Conversely, Millwall's form of W W W L W demonstrates their momentum. Blackburn average 1.2 goals per game at Ewood Park but must address their defensive issues, while Millwall, scoring 0.93 goals per game away, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses.

Historically, Blackburn have been dominant in this fixture at home, remaining unbeaten against Millwall in their last eight meetings at Ewood Park. However, Millwall's 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season might provide them with a psychological advantage. With an average of 3.2 goals per game across their last 21 encounters, another high-scoring match could be anticipated.

Blackburn Rovers - Millwall Key Facts

  • Blackburn Rovers have demonstrated a strong home advantage against Millwall, remaining unbeaten in their last eight encounters at home, with five wins and three draws. This historical performance could influence betting decisions regarding the match outcome.

  • Millwall's recent form against Blackburn in the Championship reveals only one win in their last five matches. This trend suggests challenges for Millwall in securing victories, which may affect betting considerations on their chances.

  • Blackburn have conceded at least one goal in each of their last eight matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. This statistic could make betting on total goals or both teams to score an attractive option for punters.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 3/2

Blackburn Rovers and Millwall have consistently produced high-scoring fixtures, with their previous meetings averaging 3.2 goals per match. Blackburn's home scoring rate of 1.2 goals per match, combined with Millwall's away average of 0.93, highlights both teams' ability to contribute to the scoreline. Notably, both sides are particularly dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Blackburn scoring 32% and Millwall 30% of their goals during this period. This late attacking threat significantly boosts the chances of the match going "over 2.5 goals". With a calculated probability of 74.1%, the odds of 3/2 present excellent value for this wager.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 11/10

The secondary bet, "both teams to score", is further supported by defensive frailties on both sides. Blackburn have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches, while Millwall's away form has been inconsistent, with the team failing to score in 7 of their 21 away fixtures. However, Millwall's recent improvement in attack, coupled with Blackburn's ongoing defensive struggles, makes it highly likely that both teams will find the net. With a 53.61% probability and odds of 11/10, this bet offers strong value in what promises to be a competitive mid-table encounter.

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