A do-or-die Bundesliga clash is set for the WWK Arena as Augsburg welcome Freiburg this Sunday, and the two sides have enormously different objectives. The hosts, who are 11th with 31 points, are aiming to create some breathing space from the relegation fight, while fourth-placed Freiburg are seeking to solidify their Champions League ambitions. The visitors are in good shape with four straight wins, while Augsburg's sole victory in five matches masks their inconsistent form.
The head-to-head record heavily tips the scales in Freiburg's favour, with 17 victories from 33 encounters between the sides. Augsburg's poor record against their southern rivals is particularly marked, with just a single victory in their last eleven encounters dating back to 2021. Despite home advantage, where they typically do tend to prosper, Augsburg's meagre 0.8 goals per game average against Freiburg highlights their attacking issues in this encounter.
The midfield battle could very well be the decider, as Augsburg's Dimitrios Giannoulis, who has provided four assists this season, will seek to unlock a Freiburg rearguard that is notoriously stubborn. The visitors counter with their creative hub, Vincenzo Grifo, whose seven assists this season pose a genuine threat to Augsburg's newly tightened defence, which has posted three shutouts in a row.
The match is a moment of truth for the two sides, though Augsburg's 91% win ratio when leading at home offers a glimmer of hope. However, Freiburg's superior form and historical dominance make them favourites to extend their winning streak and tighten their grip on a Champions League position. With an average of 3.4 goals witnessed in previous meetings, supporters can expect an open encounter between two sides with contrasting ambitions.
Betting Predictions
Primary Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.2
Secondary Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.95
Previous meetings between Augsburg and Freiburg offer strong evidence for goals, as games featuring these clubs have averaged a healthy 3.4 goals per match. Recent scoring form backs up the expectation of goals, with Augsburg boasting a respectable home scoring record of 1.45 goals and Freiburg averaging 1.17 goals per game on their travels.
The visitors enter this match in particularly good form, having scored in five consecutive matches while on a four-game winning streak in the Bundesliga.
Recent head-to-head form only serves to strengthen our selections, with Freiburg demonstrating their superiority by claiming four of the previous five encounters. On Augsburg's home turf, the games are prone to feature goals at both ends, with 1-1 being the most frequent outcome.
While the hosts have been solid at the back recently with three consecutive clean sheets, Freiburg's scintillating form and past scoring record against Augsburg (2.6 goals on average) indicate they'll get through the home rearguard. The convergence of Freiburg's attacking strength and the fixture's high-scoring tradition leads us firmly to our suggested bets.
Editorial Pick
Back Freiburg to pick up the away win here as they continue their sparkling season and look to become the latest surprise package from the Bundesliga to secure a place in next season's UEFA Champions League.
