The upcoming LaLiga match between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid at Estadio El Sadar on Thursday, 15 May 2025, promises an engaging contest. Atletico, currently third in the league, aim to solidify their position and maintain their title challenge, while Osasuna, sitting tenth, seek to continue their recent improvements and climb the mid-table rankings.
Historically, Atletico have dominated this fixture, winning 10 of their last 11 encounters with Osasuna. Their recent form against Osasuna is equally strong, with four victories in the last five meetings. However, Osasuna have demonstrated attacking potential, scoring in five consecutive matches and showing a particular strength in the 16th to 30th-minute period, which could be pivotal against Atletico's late-game scoring prowess.
Key players will likely play a significant role in determining the outcome. Osasuna's Ante Budimir, with 18 goals this season, leads their attack, while Atletico's Julian Alvarez, with 15 goals, remains a constant threat. Additionally, Alexander Sorloth's contributions to Atletico's forward line could be decisive. Atletico's goal difference of +33 highlights their attacking strength, but Osasuna's resilience at home adds an intriguing tactical element to the match.
Both teams enter this match under pressure, having drawn their previous LaLiga fixtures. For Atletico, a victory would reinforce their title ambitions, while Osasuna aim for a crucial win to secure mid-table stability. With their last home win against Atletico dating back to 2014, Osasuna face a challenging task. This match holds significant implications for both teams' campaigns, making it a highly anticipated event for LaLiga fans.
Osasuna - Atletico Madrid Key Facts
Atletico Madrid have a strong historical advantage over Osasuna, winning 25 of their last 43 encounters, which indicates their dominance and makes them a reliable choice for punters.
Osasuna have only managed to win 1 of their last 5 La Liga matches against Atletico Madrid, highlighting their struggles against this opponent and suggesting a potential for Atletico to secure another victory.
Atletico Madrid have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches, demonstrating solid defensive form that could influence the likelihood of a low-scoring game or a win without conceding.
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10
This fixture between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid promises goals, with over 2.5 goals carrying a strong 72.7% probability based on current form. Atletico have been prolific on their travels, averaging 2 goals per match, while Osasuna have been consistent at home, netting 1.52 goals per game. Historical encounters between these sides also point towards a high-scoring affair, with an average of 2.4 goals per match. At odds of 11/10, this market offers excellent value, supported by both recent performances and historical trends.
Secondary bet: Away Win @ 11/10
Backing Atletico Madrid for an away win also holds merit, with a 52.87% probability of success. They have a commanding record in this matchup, winning 25 of their 43 meetings, including 11 victories on Osasuna's turf. While Osasuna have shown attacking resilience, scoring in their last five matches, Atletico’s defensive strength, highlighted by three consecutive clean sheets, gives them a clear advantage. With odds of 11/10 and a strong historical edge, the away win is another well-supported betting option in this clash.
