The Luigi Ferraris Stadium is set to host a significant Serie A match this Saturday, 17 May, as Genoa face Atalanta in a clash of differing objectives. Genoa, positioned 13th in the standings, are firmly mid-table and have nothing to play for, while third-placed Atalanta seek to solidify their Champions League qualification. With a 31-point gap separating the teams, the difference in quality is evident.
Genoa enter this match following three consecutive defeats, contrasting sharply with Atalanta's impressive form, having secured victories in their last four games. Genoa have struggled for consistency, failing to win in their previous four matches and scoring in only 37% of their home games this season. Meanwhile, Atalanta have excelled on the road, averaging two goals per game, largely due to Mateo Retegui's remarkable 24-goal tally this season.
Historically, Atalanta have dominated this fixture, winning 18 out of 39 encounters, including a decisive 4-1 victory in their most recent meeting. Genoa's last home win against Atalanta occurred in 2018, highlighting the challenge they face. Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities, reflected in their -13 goal difference, contrast with Atalanta's formidable +41 goal difference, underscoring their attacking strength.
Genoa - Atalanta Key Facts
Atalanta have won 18 of their last 39 encounters against Genoa, including both matches last season, highlighting their dominance and making them strong favourites for this fixture.
Genoa are currently on a three-match losing streak and have not won in their last five games, indicating a significant dip in form that could impact their performance against a confident Atalanta side.
Atalanta have not lost any of their last five Serie A matches against Genoa, winning three and drawing two, which suggests a strong psychological advantage in this matchup.
Genoa vs Atalanta Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Away Win @ 4/6
Atalanta’s impressive form and historical superiority over Genoa make the "away win" an excellent primary bet. Atalanta have triumphed in 18 of their last 39 meetings with Genoa, including both fixtures last season. While Genoa are enduring a tough spell, with three consecutive defeats and no wins in their last four matches, Atalanta remain unbeaten in their last four outings. Furthermore, Genoa have failed to beat Atalanta in their previous three encounters, adding further weight to the visitors’ chances of securing all three points.
Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
The "over 2.5 goals" market is well-supported by the attacking trends of these sides. Matches between them have averaged 2.6 goals historically, while Atalanta boast a strong away scoring rate of 2 goals per match. Genoa, despite their struggles, average 1.26 goals per home fixture, pointing to a high-scoring potential. With Atalanta’s attacking prowess and Genoa’s ability to contribute on home turf, this secondary bet offers solid value, backed by a 72.04% probability of landing.
