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Arsenal vs Newcastle: Can Gunners End Winless Streak Against Dominant Rivals? – Premier League Stats Reveal Shocking Home Struggles

Uncover why the Gunners face a tough test at the Emirates, with Newcastle United winning four of the last five meetings—fuel your Premier League betting decisions with our expert analysis and key stats.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 12:30, 17 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Arsenal
X
Newcastle

The Emirates Stadium will host a high-stakes Premier League clash this Sunday as Arsenal take on Newcastle in a fixture that could prove pivotal for both sides. Arsenal, currently second in the table, are desperate to end a four-match winless run that has seen their position in second place come under threat by the very opponents they face this weekend. Meanwhile, Newcastle, sitting third, are looking to cement their Champions League ambitions and continue their remarkable ascent from last season’s eighth-place finish, perhaps even leapfrogging Arsenal into second. With both teams under intense pressure, the stakes could hardly be higher.

Recent form tilts in Newcastle’s favour, with three wins in their last five matches and four victories in their previous five meetings with Arsenal. The Gunners, however, can take solace in their historically strong home record against the Magpies, having won 24 of the last 33 encounters at the Emirates and averaging two goals per match. Yet, Newcastle’s last triumph in North London may still linger in Arsenal’s minds, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this showdown.

Key players are likely to have a decisive impact. Arsenal will rely on Bukayo Saka, whose 10 assists this season have been crucial, to unlock Newcastle’s defence. However, Kai Havertz’s modest return of nine goals underlines the Gunners’ recent attacking struggles. For Newcastle, Alexander Isak’s prolific tally of 23 goals this campaign makes him a constant danger, while Jacob Murphy’s dynamism adds another dimension to their attack. With Newcastle scoring in 11 consecutive matches, Arsenal’s backline will face a stern examination.

As the Premier League season approaches its climax, this encounter could shape the fortunes of both clubs. Arsenal need to rediscover their home dominance to keep hold of their place in second position, while Newcastle aim to maintain their momentum and secure a top-four finish. Supporters can expect a fiercely contested battle, where every goal and decision could carry immense significance in the race for glory.

Arsenal - Newcastle United Key Facts

  • Arsenal have not won any of their last three encounters against Newcastle United, losing the most recent match 2-0, indicating a concerning trend for punters considering Arsenal's current form against a rival they have struggled against recently.

  • Newcastle have won four of the last five meetings with Arsenal, showcasing a dominant head-to-head record that suggests they are the stronger side going into this match.

  • Arsenal have failed to win their last four home matches, which raises significant doubts about their ability to secure a victory at home, especially against a Newcastle side that has shown improved performance this season.

Arsenal vs Newcastle United Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 19/20

Arsenal’s impressive home record against Newcastle makes the Gunners a strong pick for a "home win" in this fixture. They have triumphed in 24 of their last 33 home meetings with Newcastle, underlining their dominance at the Emirates. This season, Arsenal have been solid on home turf, recording 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 losses. While their recent form is a concern—failing to win any of their last four matches—the odds of 19/20 present excellent value, especially given their historical strength at home. Newcastle’s strong league position and current form do pose a challenge, but Arsenal’s home advantage remains a decisive factor.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

The secondary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by both teams’ attacking trends and the historical goal averages in this fixture. Arsenal have scored an average of 2 goals per home match this season, while Newcastle average 1.68 goals on their travels. Historically, their meetings produce an average of 2.2 goals per match. Furthermore, Newcastle have scored in 11 consecutive matches, showcasing their attacking consistency. With both sides capable of finding the net, the odds of 8/11 for a high-scoring encounter represent strong value, particularly as Arsenal will be eager to end their winless run in front of their supporters.

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