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Germany vs Portugal predictions & betting tips

Uncover why the Germans’ dominant record—winning all of their last five clashes with Portugal—could be the key to your smartest UEFA Nations League bet for this Allianz Arena showdown.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 16:00, 3 Jun 2025
Sporticos

The Allianz Arena will host an exciting UEFA Nations League match on Wednesday, 4 June 2025, as Germany face Portugal in the semi-finals.

Germany have historically dominated this rivalry, winning all three competitive encounters, including their last match by a two-goal margin. At home, Germany remain formidable, unbeaten in their last 10 matches and winning 85% of games when leading at half time. Conversely, Portugal's away form has been inconsistent, averaging 1.17 goals per game and struggling against top-tier teams like Germany.

Key players will likely influence the match's outcome. For Germany, Joshua Kimmich will provide the leadership and organisation needed, while Jamal Musiala's attacking prowess should once again be on show, as Die Mannschaft look to extend their run of scoring in 14 consecutive games. On the Portuguese side, the ageing Cristiano Ronaldo continues to hang around the camp, but that shouldn't outshine the plethora of gems they have, in the form of Francisco Trincao, Vitinha, João Neves, the list goes on. Germany's home scoring average of 3.38 goals per game will prove a challenge to Portugal's defence as they attempt to maintain their unbeaten Nations League record.

As the stakes rise, the question remains whether Germany will extend their dominance or if Portugal will break their losing streak against Nagelsmann's side. Beyond the rivalry, this match holds significant implications for advancing to the UEFA Nations League final. The Allianz Arena is set to witness a thrilling encounter that could redefine this historic competition.

Germany - Portugal Key Facts

  • Germany have an impressive record against Portugal, winning all 5 out of their last 5 encounters, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for upcoming matches.

  • Germany are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches, further solidifying their status as a formidable opponent when playing at home, which is crucial for betting on match outcomes.

  • Portugal have failed to win any of their last 5 games against Germany, indicating a significant psychological disadvantage that could influence their performance in future fixtures.

Germany vs Portugal Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Germany Win @ 17/20

Germany's impressive historical dominance over Portugal, coupled with their current form, positions them as strong favourites in this semifinal fixture. Germany have triumphed in 5 of their last 6 encounters with Portugal and are unbeaten in their previous 8 matches across all competitions. Their home record further strengthens the case, with no defeats in their last 10 matches on home soil. At odds of 17/20, backing a "Germany win" offers excellent value, particularly given their 85% success rate when leading 1-0 at home.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams to Score @ 4/6

For the secondary bet, the 4/6 odds on "both teams to score" are well-supported by Germany's attacking consistency, having found the net in each of their last 14 matches. Fixtures between these two sides tend to be high-scoring, averaging 4 goals per match, while Germany boast an impressive 3.38 goals per game at home. Although Portugal have struggled for goals recently, their knack for delivering in high-pressure matches cannot be overlooked. With attacking quality on both sides, this bet serves as a strong complementary option.

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