Valencia vs Mallorca predictions & betting tips

Valencia face a crucial test this Sunday as they welcome Mallorca to the Mestalla in a fixture that could significantly impact both clubs' seasons. Sitting 16th in LaLiga with 28 points from 28 matches, Valencia are embroiled in a tense relegation battle. Meanwhile, Mallorca, currently 7th with 40 points, are eyeing European qualification. With so much at stake, Valencia will be desperate to capitalise on home advantage, while Mallorca aim to continue their impressive ascent up the table.

Historically, Valencia have enjoyed dominance in this fixture at the Mestalla, winning 11 of their last 20 meetings. However, recent encounters paint a different picture, with Mallorca unbeaten in their last five clashes, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent meeting. Valencia’s struggles in front of goal have been evident, failing to score in three of their 14 home matches this season. In contrast, Mallorca have displayed attacking consistency, finding the net in six consecutive matches and proving adept at exploiting defensive weaknesses.

Key players are likely to shape the outcome. For Valencia, Hugo Duro’s seven goals this season make him a pivotal figure in their attack, though the team’s modest scoring average of 1.04 goals per home game highlights their offensive challenges. Mallorca’s Vedat Muriqi, also with seven goals, has been instrumental in their push for Europe. Notably, both teams have scored 29% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes, suggesting the second half could be decisive.

With the relegation fight intensifying and the race for Europe heating up, this match carries immense significance. Valencia’s last home win over Mallorca came in 2019, and ending that drought could provide a vital boost to their survival hopes. For Mallorca, another victory would further cement their European ambitions, continuing their remarkable rise from 15th last season. The Mestalla is set for a dramatic evening where every goal and mistake could shape the futures of these two sides.

Valencia - Mallorca Key Facts

• Mallorca are unbeaten in their last five encounters against Valencia across all competitions, winning three and drawing two, indicating a strong psychological advantage that could influence the outcome of the match for punters.

• Valencia have not secured a victory in their last five La Liga matches against Mallorca, which highlights their current struggles and may suggest a continued trend of poor form for the home side.

• Mallorca have lost none of their last six games overall, while Valencia have conceded in each of their last five matches, suggesting that Mallorca's attacking form could exploit Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 81/50

Valencia's defensive frailties, coupled with Mallorca's recent scoring form, make the Over 2.5 goals market an attractive option. Statistical analysis indicates a 67.7% likelihood of this outcome, bolstered by Valencia conceding in each of their last five matches. Historically, this fixture averages 1.8 goals per game, and while Valencia have failed to score in three of their 14 home fixtures this season, Mallorca's poor away record (no wins in their last five) and defensive lapses suggest a high-scoring encounter is on the cards.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 23/20

The secondary bet on a Valencia home win is supported by their strong historical record against Mallorca, with 11 victories in their last 20 meetings at Mestalla and a commanding goal difference of 37-15. Despite Valencia's struggles this season, currently sitting 16th in LaLiga, Mallorca's inability to win away from home in their last five attempts and their poor track record at Mestalla provide value in backing the hosts. Furthermore, Mallorca's disciplinary issues, with six red cards this season, could further tip the scales in Valencia's favour.