Real Valladolid welcome Girona to the José Zorrilla on Tuesday, 13 May, for a pivotal LaLiga clash. Rooted to the bottom of the table with just 16 points, Valladolid are in desperate need of a lifeline to escape relegation. Their alarming form—eight consecutive losses—has left supporters questioning the team’s morale and ability to compete. Meanwhile, Girona, sitting 15th with 38 points, aim to stabilise their mid-table position and capitalise on Valladolid’s struggles to secure a crucial away win.
Historically, Valladolid have enjoyed a strong home advantage against Girona, remaining unbeaten in their last nine encounters at the José Zorrilla. Both sides have claimed seven wins in their previous 18 meetings, reflecting a balanced rivalry. However, recent form tells a different story. Girona have triumphed in three of their last five matches against Valladolid, including a commanding 3-0 victory in their most recent clash. Despite this, Valladolid’s home record could provide a psychological boost as they fight to reverse their fortunes.
Current form paints a tale of two struggling sides. Valladolid’s scoring woes are glaring, with the team failing to find the net in seven of their 17 home games this season. Mamadou Sylla, their top scorer, has managed just five goals, underscoring their offensive struggles. Girona, on the other hand, have failed to win any of their last eight away matches, though Cristhian Stuani’s nine goals make him a constant threat. With Valladolid scoring 36% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes and Girona netting 24% in the final 15 minutes, this match could hinge on decisive moments in the second half.
Valladolid - Girona Key Facts
Valladolid have not won in their last 15 matches, including 8 consecutive defeats in La Liga, indicating a severe lack of form that could heavily influence betting decisions on their ability to secure points in upcoming fixtures.
Girona have won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Valladolid, including a recent victory by 3 goals, showcasing their dominance in this head-to-head matchup and suggesting a strong likelihood of them performing well again.
Valladolid have failed to score in 7 of their 17 home matches this season, which raises concerns about their attacking capabilities and makes betting on them to score less appealing.
Valladolid vs Girona Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5
The recommendation for "Over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by compelling statistics, with a 74.82% probability of this outcome. Previous meetings between Valladolid and Girona have averaged 2.4 goals per match, reflecting a consistent trend towards higher-scoring fixtures. Valladolid’s defensive frailties further strengthen this prediction, as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 matches. This persistent vulnerability at the back significantly increases the chances of a goal-filled encounter, making this bet an excellent value proposition.
Secondary bet: Away Win @ 4/6
The "Away Win" bet is supported by Girona’s superior form and favourable head-to-head record. Girona have a 50.75% probability of victory, compared to Valladolid’s 24.92%, clearly highlighting their advantage. Additionally, Girona have triumphed in three of their last five clashes with Valladolid, demonstrating their ability to dominate this fixture. While Valladolid’s historical home form might suggest resilience, their current struggles—an eight-match losing streak and a failure to score in seven of their 17 home fixtures this season—make Girona the more dependable choice for this wager.
