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Leganes vs Osasuna predictions & betting tips

Discover crucial betting insights for Monday's LaLiga clash between struggling Leganes, currently on a three-match losing streak, and Osasuna at Butarque, where historical data suggests the opening goal could be the key to victory.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 15:47, 6 Apr 2025

The Estadio Municipal de Butarque sets the stage for a crucial LaLiga showdown on Monday, 7 April 2025, as Leganes and Osasuna clash in a high-stakes relegation battle. Leganes, currently 18th in the table, are desperate to climb out of the drop zone, while 14th-placed Osasuna aim to end their eight-match winless streak and secure their position. Both sides are under immense pressure, with Leganes enduring three consecutive defeats and Osasuna struggling for form. The stakes couldn’t be higher as both teams fight for survival.

Leganes will draw confidence from their historical home advantage, having won four of their last eight meetings with Osasuna at Butarque. The most recent encounter between the two ended in a draw, adding further tension to this rematch. Notably, Leganes have lost just one of their last five games against Osasuna in all competitions, a record that could provide a psychological boost. With 2-0 being the most common scoreline in this fixture in favour of the hosts, Leganes will hope to replicate past successes.

Current form, however, paints a challenging picture for both sides. Leganes have managed just one win in their last five matches, while Osasuna’s away form has been woeful, struggling to find the net on their travels. Defensively, Leganes’ -18 goal difference highlights their frailties, though their knack for scoring late could prove decisive. Osasuna, meanwhile, relied heavily on early goals but remained inconsistent, as reflected in their -9 goal difference. Key players Daniel Raba and Ante Budimir will be pivotal, with Budimir’s impressive 15 goals this season overshadowing Raba’s six.

This fixture could prove a turning point in the relegation battle. A win for Leganes would breathe life into their survival bid, while Osasuna must break their winless run to regain momentum. With so much at stake, supporters can expect a fiercely contested and dramatic encounter at Butarque.

Leganes - Osasuna Key Facts

  • Leganes have demonstrated a strong home advantage against Osasuna, securing victories in 4 of their last 8 home encounters. This performance is underscored by a goal difference of 10-4, showcasing their ability to capitalize on home-ground conditions.

  • On the other hand, Osasuna are currently experiencing a challenging phase, remaining winless in their last 8 matches and suffering 6 consecutive away losses. This decline in form is a critical factor for consideration in betting strategies.

  • However, it's important to note that Leganes have only managed to win 1 of their last 5 La Liga matches against Osasuna. This historical data highlights the potential unpredictability of this fixture, suggesting the possibility of a draw or an Osasuna victory.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 13/10

The primary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by a compelling 69.18% probability, derived from the scoring trends of both teams. Leganes average 1.24 goals per match at home, while Osasuna register 1.2 goals per match on their travels, highlighting their ability to contribute to a high-scoring encounter. Historical clashes between these sides yield an average of 2.2 goals per match, further supporting the expectation of a goal-filled fixture. With both teams eager to end their respective winless runs, an attacking mindset is likely, increasing the chances of multiple goals. At odds of 13/10, this bet presents excellent value.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 81/50

The secondary bet on a "home win" is supported by Leganes' strong record against Osasuna on home soil, with four wins in their last eight meetings. While Leganes are currently on a three-match losing streak, Osasuna’s struggles are even more pronounced, as they remain winless in their last eight matches and have failed to score in eight of their 14 away fixtures this season. Leganes have also outperformed Osasuna overall in LaLiga this campaign, and with odds of 81/50, backing the home side offers solid potential. Given Osasuna’s poor away form, Leganes are well-positioned to leverage their home advantage and secure a crucial victory.

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