Monza travel to Stadio Friuli on Sunday, 11 May 2025, for a Serie A clash against Udinese. Rooted to the bottom of the table with just 15 points, Monza are in a desperate fight to avoid relegation. In contrast, Udinese, comfortably sitting 12th with 44 points, aim to solidify their mid-table stability. The contrasting fortunes of these sides set the stage for a dramatic encounter, with Monza’s survival hopes hanging by a thread and Udinese looking to maintain their momentum.
Recent form heavily favours the hosts. Udinese have secured a win and a draw in their last five matches, while Monza have endured five consecutive defeats, extending their winless streak to 14 games. This dismal run has drained Monza’s morale, further compounded by their failure to score in their last three outings. Meanwhile, Udinese’s home advantage is clear, with the team averaging 1.65 goals per game at Stadio Friuli. Lorenzo Lucca, their top scorer with 10 goals, will be pivotal in exploiting Monza’s fragile defence, which has conceded 38 more goals than they’ve scored this season.
History also tilts in Udinese’s favour. The Friuli-based side are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Monza, including a narrow victory in their most recent encounter. Matches between these teams average 2.8 goals, hinting at another potentially high-scoring affair. However, Monza’s last away win in Serie A came against Udinese, a fact that could offer a glimmer of hope for the struggling visitors. Giorgos Kyriakopoulos and Dany Mota must rise to the occasion if Monza are to end their scoring drought and defy the odds.
Udinese - Monza Key Facts
Monza are currently enduring a dismal run, having lost their last 10 away matches in Serie A, which significantly undermines their chances of securing points in upcoming fixtures.
Udinese have not lost any of their last 5 Serie A encounters against Monza, winning 1 and drawing 4, indicating a strong psychological advantage in this matchup.
Monza have failed to score in their last 3 matches and have not found the net in 8 of their 17 away games this season, suggesting a severe attacking deficiency that could impact their performance.
Udinese vs Monza Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 12/25
Udinese’s impressive home form, coupled with Monza’s woeful away performances, makes backing the home win a strong choice. Udinese have a 51.9% probability of victory, supported by predictive models and Monza’s alarming run of 10 consecutive away defeats in Serie A. Furthermore, Udinese are unbeaten in their last five Serie A encounters with Monza, underlining their historical superiority. Playing at the Stadio Friuli, where Udinese win 40% of first halves compared to Monza’s meagre 17%, further bolsters confidence in a home win.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
The secondary bet on over 2.5 goals is equally compelling, with a 75.5% probability suggesting a high-scoring affair. Udinese average 1.65 goals per home match, while Monza’s defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.8 goals in their previous meetings. Monza have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches, and their defensive struggles, combined with Udinese’s attacking capabilities, make this a value selection. Despite Monza’s recent scoring issues, their desperation to end a five-match losing streak could lead to a more open, attacking approach, increasing the likelihood of goals.
