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Harder (40')
Katompa Mvumpa (49') Amiri (45')

How to watch RB Leipzig vs Mainz online & on TV, head to head and predictions


Match feed:

Who will win?

RB Leipzig
X
Mainz
  • Match Ended
  • 90'
    Yellow Card
    • Kacper Potulski

    Kacper Potulski (Mainz) has received a yellow card from Daniel Schlager.

  • 87'
    Substitution
    • Nicolas Seiwald
    • Johan Bakayoko

    Ole Werner (Leipzig) is making a fourth substitution, with Johan Bakayoko replacing Nicolas Seiwald.

  • 82'
    Substitution
    • Silvan Widmer
    • Philipp Mwene

    Philipp Mwene is replacing Silvan Widmer for the away team.

  • 82'
    Substitution
    • Phillip Tietz
    • Nelson Weiper

    Nelson Weiper is replacing Phillip Tietz for Mainz at Red Bull Arena.

  • 82'
    Substitution
    • Silas Katompa Mvumpa
    • Paul Nebel

    Urs Fischer is making the team's third substitution at Red Bull Arena with Paul Nebel replacing Silas Katompa Mvumpa.

  • 72'
    Substitution
    • Romulo
    • Tidiam Gomis

    Tidiam Gomis is on a sub for Romulo for Leipzig.

  • 72'
    Substitution
    • Nadiem Amiri
    • Lennard Maloney

    Lennard Maloney is replacing Nadiem Amiri for Mainz at Red Bull Arena.

  • 59'
    Substitution
    • El Chadaille Bitshiabu
    • Ezechiel Banzuzi

    Leipzig make their second substitution with Ezechiel Banzuzi replacing El Chadaille Bitshiabu.

  • 59'
    Substitution
    • Ridle Baku
    • Benjamin Henrichs

    The home team replace Ridle Baku with Benjamin Henrichs.

  • 49'
    Goal !
    • Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Scorer)

    Goal! Mainz have got their heads in front thanks to a Silas Katompa Mvumpa strike.

  • 45'
    Goal !
    • Nadiem Amiri (Scorer)

    Goal! The away team are now level through a Nadiem Amiri penalty.

  • 45'
    Yellow Card
    • Stefan Posch

    Stefan Posch is booked for the away team.

  • 40'
    Goal !
    • Conrad Harder (Scorer)
    • Antonio Nusa (Assist)

    Goal! A Conrad Harder header gives Leipzig a 1-0 lead in Leipzig.

    Antonio Nusa instrumental with a fine assist.

  • 38'
    Yellow Card
    • Stefan Bell

    Stefan Bell (Mainz) has been booked and must now be careful not to get a second yellow card.

  • 15'
    Substitution
    • Benedict Hollerbach
    • Silas Katompa Mvumpa

    The away team have replaced Benedict Hollerbach with Silas Katompa Mvumpa. This is the first substitution made today by Urs Fischer.

  • Match Started

Line-ups

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
(4-3-3)
(3-5-2)
Mainz Mainz
1Gulacsi17Baku4Orban5Bitshiabu22Raum24Schlager13Seiwald11Harder49Diomande40Romulo7Nusa33Batz4Posch16Bell48Potulski21da Costa10Amiri6Sano7Jae-sung30Widmer20Tietz17Hollerbach
1Gulacsi17Baku4Orban5Bitshiabu22Raum24Schlager13Seiwald11Harder49Diomande40Romulo7Nusa
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
(4-3-3)
33Batz4Posch16Bell48Potulski21da Costa10Amiri6Sano7Jae-sung30Widmer20Tietz17Hollerbach
(3-5-2)
Mainz Mainz
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Werner, Ole
Coach
Substitutes
Benjamin Henrichs 39
59' Out: Ridle Baku

Ezechiel Banzuzi 6
59' Out: El Chadaille Bitshiabu

Tidiam Gomis 27
72' Out: Romulo

Johan Bakayoko 9
87' Out: Nicolas Seiwald
Missing players
Christoph Baumgartner
Suspended

Castello Lukeba
Injured

Sani Suleiman
Injured

Assan Ouedraogo
Injured

Viggo Gebel
Injured
Mainz Mainz
Fischer, Urs
Coach
Substitutes
Silas Katompa Mvumpa 26
15' Out: Benedict Hollerbach

Lennard Maloney 15
72' Out: Nadiem Amiri

Paul Nebel 8
82' Out: Silas Katompa Mvumpa

Nelson Weiper 44
82' Out: Phillip Tietz

Philipp Mwene 2
82' Out: Silvan Widmer
Missing players
Dominik Kohr
Suspended

Robin Zentner
Injured

Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Other

Anthony Caci
Injured

Sota Kawasaki
Injured

Nikolas Veratschnig
Injured

Kasey Bos
Injured

Statistics

Ball possession
RB Leipzig64%
36% Mainz
Shots
5Off goal44On goal4

6
Shots blocked
1
5
Corner kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
2
Saves
3
3
Fouls
11
0
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Betting tips

During the last 9 meetings with RB Leipzig playing at home, RB Leipzig have won 5 times, there have been 2 draws while FSV Mainz have won 2 times. The goal difference is 25-11 in favour of RB Leipzig.
During the last 19 meetings, RB Leipzig have won 9 times, there have been 4 draws while FSV Mainz have won 6 times. The goal difference is 42-26 in favour of RB Leipzig.
Last season's matches: 1-2 (RB Leipzig at home) and 0-2 (FSV Mainz at home).
Did you know that RB Leipzig scores 27% of their goals between the minutes 46-60? This is the highest percentage in the league.
Did you know that FSV Mainz scores 22% of their goals between the minutes 16-30?
FSV Mainz haven't won any of their last 9 away matches.
RB Leipzig haven't scored in 0 of their 9 home matches in Bundesliga this season.
FSV Mainz haven't scored in 3 of their 9 away matches in Bundesliga this season.
RB Leipzig's home record this season: 7-0-2.
FSV Mainz's away record this season: 1-3-5.
1/10

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Predictions

Bookmakers strongly favour a home win for RB Leipzig over Mainz, with draw and away victory rated notably less likely. Both teams to score and especially over 2.5 goals are considered more likely than their alternatives.

Full-time result1x2
Probability56%22%22%
Odds1.574.335.5
Correct Score2-11-02-0
Probability10%10%9%
Odds8.599
Over/Under 2.5OverUnder
Probability81%19%
Odds1.622.3
BTTSYesNo
Probability58%42%
Odds1.672.1
Odds data provided by: Bet365

Head to head

In the last five Bundesliga meetings between RB Leipzig and Mainz, Leipzig have recorded two wins, Mainz have recorded two wins, and there has been one draw, with a total score of 5–4 in Leipzig’s favour. Home advantage has not been decisive, with both teams achieving an away win and Mainz securing one home win while Leipzig have also won twice in Mainz.

RB Leipzig
Matches:  14
Mainz
43%
Wins: 6
14%
Draws: 2
43%
Wins: 6
Recent meetings
  1. Flag DEUBundesliga
    31 Jan 2026
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    1 : 2
    MainzMainz
  2. Flag DEUBundesliga
    13 Sep 2025
    MainzMainz
    0 : 1
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  3. Flag DEUBundesliga
    1 Mar 2025
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    1 : 2
    MainzMainz
  4. Flag DEUBundesliga
    19 Oct 2024
    MainzMainz
    0 : 2
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  5. Flag DEUBundesliga
    30 Mar 2024
    RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    0 : 0
    MainzMainz

Form

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  1. Flag DEUBundesliga
    31 Jan 2026
    RB Leipzig
    1 : 2
    Mainz
  2. Flag DEUBundesliga
    27 Jan 2026
    St Pauli
    1 : 1
    RB Leipzig
  3. Flag DEUBundesliga
    24 Jan 2026
    Heidenheim
    0 : 3
    RB Leipzig
  4. Flag DEUBundesliga
    17 Jan 2026
    RB Leipzig
    1 : 5
    Bayern Munich
  5. Flag DEUBundesliga
    14 Jan 2026
    RB Leipzig
    2 : 0
    SC Freiburg
MainzMainz
  1. Flag DEUBundesliga
    31 Jan 2026
    RB Leipzig
    1 : 2
    Mainz
  2. Flag DEUBundesliga
    24 Jan 2026
    Mainz
    3 : 1
    Wolfsburg
  3. Flag DEUBundesliga
    17 Jan 2026
    Cologne
    2 : 1
    Mainz
  4. Flag DEUBundesliga
    13 Jan 2026
    Mainz
    2 : 1
    Heidenheim
  5. Flag DEUBundesliga
    10 Jan 2026
    Union Berlin
    2 : 2
    Mainz

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Standings

RB Leipzig are currently 4th in the table with 36 points from 19 matches, having recorded 11 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses with a goal difference of 37:25. FSV Mainz sit 16th with 15 points from 19 matches, after 3 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses, and a goal difference of 21:32, leaving a 21-point gap between the teams.

PosTeamWDLMPts
4VfB Stuttgart12352039
5RB Leipzig11362036
6Bayer Leverkusen11261935
...
15Werder Bremen4792019
16Mainz46102018
17St Pauli35122014

Match information