Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin predictions & betting tips

The Bundesliga showdown between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin at the BayArena this Saturday carries significant implications for both sides. Leverkusen, currently second with 59 points, remain firmly in the title race and cannot afford any slip-ups. Meanwhile, Union Berlin, sitting 13th on 30 points, are fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone. With such contrasting stakes, this fixture could prove pivotal in shaping their respective seasons.

Leverkusen approach the match with a formidable home record and an impressive goal difference of +28, largely thanks to the prolific Patrik Schick, who has scored 17 goals this campaign. Averaging 2.25 goals per home game, they are clear favourites to secure the points. However, Union Berlin’s recent form—three wins in their last five matches—suggests they are capable of causing an upset. Defensive vulnerabilities, though, remain a concern for the visitors, who have conceded in each of their last six games.

The historical record heavily favours Leverkusen, who are unbeaten in their last seven home meetings with Union Berlin, boasting a 71% home win rate in this fixture. Union Berlin’s struggles in this rivalry are well-documented, with their only victory against Leverkusen coming years ago. This lopsided history adds further pressure on the visitors as they aim to defy the odds.

Individual performances could be decisive in this encounter. Schick’s clinical finishing will be key for Leverkusen, while Union Berlin will look to Benedict Hollerbach to spark their attack. Yet, with Union Berlin failing to score in half of their away matches this season, breaching Leverkusen’s defence will be a daunting task. Supporters can anticipate an intense contest as both teams battle for vital points in their respective campaigns.

Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin Key Facts

• Bayer Leverkusen have demonstrated a remarkable home record against Union Berlin, achieving victory in 5 out of their last 7 encounters at home. This dominance is further highlighted by a significant goal difference of 21-5, establishing them as strong favorites for the upcoming match.

• In their last 14 meetings, Leverkusen have secured 9 victories compared to Union Berlin's single win. This historical advantage is a critical factor for consideration when evaluating the teams' performances.

• Additionally, Leverkusen have remained unbeaten in their last 5 Bundesliga matches against Union, reinforcing their position as the preferred team to support in this fixture.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Home Win @ 33/100

Bayer Leverkusen's impressive record against Union Berlin makes the "home win" an excellent choice. Leverkusen have triumphed in 5 of their last 7 home fixtures against Union Berlin and remain unbeaten in their last 7 meetings on home soil. Adding to their appeal, Leverkusen are currently on a three-match winning streak in the Bundesliga, underlining their strong form. While Union Berlin have shown improvement with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, their poor away record and historical struggles against Leverkusen heavily favour the hosts.

Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 31/50

The "over 2.5 goals" bet is well-supported by the attacking nature of previous encounters, which average 2.6 goals per match between these sides. At home, Leverkusen average 2.25 goals per game, while Union Berlin contribute 1.14 goals on their travels. Despite occasional inconsistencies in finishing, Leverkusen's potent attack and Union Berlin's tendency to exploit defensive gaps suggest a high-scoring match is likely.