West Brom vs Sunderland predictions & betting tips

The Championship playoff race intensifies as West Bromwich Albion welcome Sunderland to The Hawthorns this Saturday, 5 April 2025, at 12:30. Both sides are vying for a top-six finish, making this fixture crucial. West Brom, sitting sixth with 57 points, aim to close the gap on fourth-placed Sunderland, who are on 72 points. A victory for the hosts would tighten the playoff battle, while Sunderland look to strengthen their grip on a higher position as the season approaches its climax.

Recent form highlights contrasting fortunes. West Brom are unbeaten in six matches, though their recent record of L D D W D reflects inconsistency. Sunderland, by contrast, have been in fine form, winning four of their last five (W L D W W). Both teams, however, are coming off draws, which could influence momentum. Sunderland’s defensive frailties, having conceded in each of their last six games, may present West Brom with opportunities to exploit, particularly on home turf.

The historical head-to-head adds another layer of intrigue. Sunderland have dominated recent meetings, winning both encounters last season and losing just once in their last five clashes with West Brom. Yet, The Hawthorns has proven a tricky venue for the visitors, with West Brom securing eight wins in their last 19 home games against Sunderland. While Sunderland may hold a psychological edge, West Brom’s solid home record this season (9-8-2) could prove decisive.

Key players are set to take centre stage. West Brom’s Josh Maja and Sunderland’s Wilson Isidor, both on 12 goals this season, will spearhead their respective attacks. Meanwhile, Tom Fellows, with 10 assists, and Patrick Roberts, with seven, will be instrumental in creating chances. With so much riding on this encounter, fans can expect a thrilling and potentially pivotal chapter in the Championship playoff race.

West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland Key Facts

• Sunderland have won both encounters against West Brom last season, indicating a strong psychological advantage and recent dominance that could influence their performance in this match.

• West Bromwich Albion have not lost in their last six games, showcasing a solid run of form that may enhance their confidence and resilience at home.

• Historically, Sunderland averages 1.2 goals per match against West Bromwich Albion, while West Brom averages only 0.8 goals against Sunderland, suggesting that Sunderland may have the upper hand in attacking efficiency in their head-to-head meetings.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10

West Brom’s impressive attacking form, combined with Sunderland’s defensive vulnerabilities, points strongly towards a high-scoring encounter. West Brom have found the net in each of their last six matches, while Sunderland have conceded in every one of their last six fixtures. With a calculated probability of 70.06% for "over 2.5 goals", the odds of 11/10 present excellent value.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 29/20

West Brom’s six-match unbeaten run and Sunderland’s inconsistency on the road bolster the case for ahome win, which is attractively priced at 29/20.

The statistical trends and match context further validate these selections. Sunderland have failed to score in six of their last 19 away fixtures, underlining their struggles away from home. Meanwhile, West Brom’s strong home performances and reliable scoring record make them a solid choice for victory. Although previous meetings between these sides have often been closely contested, Sunderland’s current defensive frailties and West Brom’s form tip the balance in favour of the hosts and a high-scoring match.