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Preston vs QPR predictions & betting tips

Discover why Preston's remarkable 72% win rate when scoring first at Deepdale could be the key insight for predicting the outcome of Friday's Championship clash against QPR.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 13:29, 17 Apr 2025

Who will win?

Preston
X
QPR

Deepdale will host a pivotal Championship clash this Friday as Preston North End take on Queens Park Rangers in a crucial mid-table encounter. With Preston sitting 14th and QPR just behind in 15th, both teams are desperate to stabilise their seasons. Preston’s form has been woeful, failing to win in their last four matches, while QPR’s slightly better run of one win in five gives them a psychological edge. For the hosts, snapping this winless streak is vital to reignite their campaign and climb the table.

The historical rivalry between these sides adds further intrigue. QPR have dominated recent meetings, winning the last three encounters, but Preston hold a stronger home record in this fixture. Out of their last 17 matches at Deepdale against QPR, Preston have claimed victory seven times, highlighting their potential advantage on home soil. However, last season’s double defeat to QPR will weigh heavily, and the visitors will aim to extend their dominance. With an average of 1.8 goals per game in this fixture, supporters could be in for a tight, low-scoring contest.

Key players Emil Riis and Michael Frey are likely to influence proceedings. Riis, Preston’s leading scorer with 10 goals, will be tasked with breaking down a QPR defence that has struggled for consistency on the road. On the other hand, Frey, QPR’s top scorer with seven goals, will look to exploit a Preston backline that has conceded in their last eight matches. While Preston’s home scoring average of 1.06 goals per game offers some hope, their failure to find the net in five home matches this season is a concern.

A win for either side could prove transformative. For Preston, it’s a chance to rebuild confidence and gain momentum, while QPR will aim to capitalise on their recent dominance and push higher up the table. With both teams eager to turn their fortunes around, this mid-table showdown promises to be a defining moment in their campaigns.

Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers Key Facts

  • Queens Park Rangers have won four of the last five encounters against Preston North End, including both fixtures last season, indicating a strong recent dominance that could influence betting on their likelihood of victory.

  • Preston have not won in their last five matches and have failed to score in five of their 21 home Championship games this season, suggesting a lack of form that may affect their chances of securing points.

  • Historically, Preston have a slight edge at home with a goal difference of 22-16 over QPR in their last 17 home meetings, but recent trends show that QPR have been more successful in their recent head-to-heads, making this a potentially unpredictable matchup.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 3/2

Preston’s defensive frailties make the "over 2.5 goals" market an attractive option, with a strong 69.73% probability of success. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches, underlining their struggles at the back. Meanwhile, QPR’s recent form suggests they are well-equipped to exploit these weaknesses. Although the historical average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these sides falls short of the 2.5-goal threshold, the current form and tactical vulnerabilities of both teams point towards a more open, high-scoring encounter. At odds of 3/2, this bet offers excellent value, backed by both statistical trends and recent performances.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 5/4

The secondary recommendation of a "home win" at 5/4 is bolstered by Preston’s historical dominance over QPR on home soil, with seven wins in their last 17 meetings. Despite their recent poor form, Preston’s home record this season (7-12-2) demonstrates they remain a tough side to beat at Deepdale. While QPR have won four of the last five head-to-head fixtures, Preston’s home advantage, combined with their motivation to end a winless streak, makes this a plausible upset. The odds provide a solid return for those confident in the hosts’ ability to turn their fortunes around.

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