Portsmouth welcome Hull to Fratton Park this Saturday in a Championship fixture. Portsmouth, currently 16th in the table, are looking to end their campaign on a high, while Hull, sitting 22nd, are in desperate need of points to climb out of the relegation zone. With Hull managing just one win in their last five matches, the pressure is mounting for a response. In contrast, Portsmouth’s mid-table position allows them to play with less urgency, though their determination remains undiminished.
Home advantage could be key for Portsmouth, who average 1.39 goals per game at Fratton Park. However, inconsistency has been an issue, with six scoreless home matches this season. Hull’s away form has been even more concerning, with the Tigers averaging just 0.77 goals per game and failing to score in nine of their 22 away fixtures. While Portsmouth appear to have the edge, Hull’s knack for late goals—35% of their strikes coming in the final 15 minutes—means they cannot be underestimated in a tight contest.
Individual performances will likely shape the outcome. Colby Bishop, Portsmouth’s leading scorer with 11 goals, will be central to their attacking efforts, particularly against Hull’s vulnerable defence. For the visitors, Joao Pedro carries the goal-scoring burden, though his struggles away from home reflect the team’s broader difficulties. Both players will need to step up in what promises to be a fiercely competitive encounter.
The historical rivalry between these sides has been evenly matched. Their last meeting ended 1-1, and across the past 11 clashes, Portsmouth hold a narrow edge with four wins to Hull’s three. With an average of 2.2 goals per game in these encounters, another intense battle is on the cards. A victory for Portsmouth would solidify their mid-table standing, while Hull’s survival hopes hinge on securing a crucial result.
Portsmouth - Hull Key Facts
Portsmouth FC have demonstrated a strong home advantage, winning 81% of their matches when leading 1-0. This statistic underscores their ability to maintain leads at Fratton Park, which is a crucial consideration for punters evaluating match outcomes.
Hull City have faced challenges in away matches, failing to score in 9 of their 22 Championship games this season. This suggests a potential lack of attacking threat, which could influence betting decisions regarding total goals.
The average number of goals in encounters between Portsmouth FC and Hull City is 2.2, with the teams averaging 1.39 and 0.77 goals scored per match respectively. This trend may favor betting on a low-scoring affair.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11
Portsmouth's home scoring average of 1.39 goals per match, combined with Hull's away average of 0.77, points towards a strong potential for a high-scoring fixture. Historical encounters between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per match, further supporting the likelihood of goals. The calculated probability of 67.24% for Under 2.5 goals makes this a statistically sound selection, particularly at odds of 10/11. While Portsmouth have occasionally struggled to find the net at home, Hull's inconsistent defensive performances on the road significantly increase the chances of a goal-filled Championship clash.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 2/1
For the secondary bet, Portsmouth's 53.12% probability of securing a win highlights their home advantage. This is bolstered by their impressive 81% success rate when leading 1-0 at home. Hull's patchy away form, coupled with Portsmouth's ability to perform well in this fixture historically—winning two of the last five home meetings—adds further weight to the home win prediction. At odds of 2/1, this bet offers excellent value, though Hull's occasional resilience on their travels introduces a moderate level of risk.
