Lazio vs Roma predictions & betting tips

The Derby della Capitale takes centre stage this Sunday, 13 April 2025, as Lazio and Roma face off at the iconic Stadio Olimpico. With both sides locked on 52 points and vying for European qualification, the stakes are immense. This historic rivalry, fuelled by passion and pride, transcends league positions, promising a captivating spectacle.

Lazio, currently 7th, and Roma, in 6th, know that victory could be decisive in their pursuit of continental football next season. Lazio boast a significant psychological edge, having remained unbeaten in their last nine home meetings with Roma. Their 72% win rate when leading 1-0 at home further underscores their strength on familiar turf. Backed by a fervent home crowd, Lazio will look to overcome their recent inconsistency, with just two wins in their last five matches. However, they’ll need to raise their game to match the occasion.

Roma, by contrast, arrive in red-hot form, riding a seven-match winning streak in Serie A. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored in 15 consecutive matches, and they’ll be determined to end Lazio’s home dominance. Artem Dovbyk, Roma’s leading scorer with 11 goals, will be pivotal in their efforts, while Lazio’s Taty Castellanos, with nine goals this season, will aim to exploit Roma’s defensive frailties.

The historical narrative adds further intrigue. Lazio have claimed victory in 16 of their last 34 home clashes against Roma, but the visitors hold the upper hand overall, with 29 wins in 70 encounters. With both teams desperate for European football, this promises to be a fiercely contested battle. Late drama could play a decisive role, as Lazio have scored 35% of their goals in the final 15 minutes. Fans can expect an electrifying encounter where every moment matters.

Lazio - Roma Key Facts

• Lazio's unbeaten record in their last nine home matches against Roma demonstrates their strong home advantage, making this bet a solid choice.

• Considering the historical trend of Roma achieving a 0-2 victory in ten past encounters, this bet offers a high-value opportunity for those favoring historical patterns.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10

The Lazio vs Roma derby promises an exciting, high-scoring encounter, with both sides displaying impressive attacking form. Lazio are averaging 1.96 goals per match at home this season, while Roma have found the net in 15 consecutive fixtures, highlighting their consistency in front of goal. Although past meetings between these rivals have typically been low-scoring, averaging just one goal per match, recent trends suggest a shift towards more open, attacking football. At odds of 11/10, the "over 2.5 goals" market offers excellent value, given the offensive capabilities and current form of both teams.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 9/5

For the secondary bet, Lazio’s dominance at home in this fixture is a key factor. They are unbeaten in their last nine home derbies against Roma, with Roma’s last away win in this rivalry dating back to 2016. Lazio have also secured victory in 50% of their home matches this season, underlining their strength at the Stadio Olimpico. While Roma arrive in fine form, riding a seven-match winning streak, the odds of 9/5 for a Lazio "home win" are highly appealing, particularly when considering their historical superiority in this fixture.