The Bundesliga relegation battle heats up this Saturday as Union Berlin welcome Heidenheim to An der alten Försterei. Union Berlin, currently 13th with 37 points, are looking to extend their seven-match unbeaten run (D D D D W) and edge closer to safety. Meanwhile, Heidenheim, sitting 16th on 26 points, are desperate for a result to climb out of the relegation zone.
Union Berlin’s strong home form could prove decisive. Averaging 1.2 goals per game on their own turf, they’ve been a tough nut to crack, particularly for Heidenheim, who have failed to win in their last four visits to Berlin. However, Heidenheim hold a historical advantage in this fixture, boasting nine wins from their previous 16 meetings. Despite their current struggles, including a worrying -27 goal difference, Heidenheim’s ability to exploit Union Berlin’s occasional defensive lapses could make this a tightly contested affair.
Individual performances are likely to play a crucial role. Union Berlin’s Benedict Hollerbach, with nine goals this season, has been a consistent attacking threat and will look to add to his tally. For Heidenheim, Marvin Pieringer, their top scorer with seven goals, remains a key figure in their bid to find the net. Both players will aim to capitalise on defensive vulnerabilities, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this high-stakes encounter.
Union Berlin - Heidenheim Key Facts
Heidenheim have a strong historical advantage over Union Berlin, winning 9 out of the last 16 encounters, which suggests they are more likely to secure a positive result based on past performances.
Union Berlin have not lost at home to Heidenheim in their last 4 meetings, indicating a solid home advantage that could influence the outcome of the match.
Both teams are struggling for form, having not won their last Bundesliga matches, which could lead to a tightly contested game with potential for a draw or low-scoring outcome.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 10/11
The primary recommendation of over 2.5 goals is underpinned by compelling statistics, with a 72.03% likelihood of this outcome. Matches between Union Berlin and Heidenheim historically average 2.4 goals, while Union Berlin score an average of 1.2 goals at home and Heidenheim net 2.25 goals per away fixture. Both sides are eager to end their recent winless runs, which is likely to result in an open, attacking contest. This combination of historical trends and current motivation strongly supports a high-scoring encounter.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 6/5
The secondary bet on a Union Berlin home win is supported by their impressive form and dominance in this fixture. Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last seven matches and have not lost to Heidenheim in their previous four home meetings. While Heidenheim have shown competitiveness, Union Berlin’s strong home record and current momentum make them a solid choice to claim victory. At 6/5, this offers excellent value for punters.
