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Getafe vs Real Madrid predictions & betting tips

Uncover the key stats behind the Getafe vs Real Madrid clash—Los Blancos have won 30 of their last 40 meetings—then leverage our expert betting preview to make your smartest LaLiga picks.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 06:25, 23 Apr 2025

Who will win?

Getafe
X
Real Madrid

The Coliseum Alfonso Pérez is set to host an exciting LaLiga match on April 23, featuring Getafe against Real Madrid. Historically, this fixture has been dominated by Real Madrid, who have secured 30 victories in 40 encounters, including wins in their last five meetings. Currently, Getafe sits 12th in the league standings, facing a challenging task against second-placed Real Madrid, who are eager to maintain their title aspirations. Both teams enter this match following defeats, adding urgency to their pursuit of three crucial points.

Real Madrid's offensive strength, led by Kylian Mbappe with 22 goals this season, poses a significant challenge for Getafe's defense. On the other hand, Mauro Arambarri, with nine goals, remains Getafe's primary attacking threat. The midfield battle is expected to be pivotal, with Jude Bellingham's creativity being a key factor for Madrid. Getafe's tendency to score late goals—32% of their total in the final 15 minutes—offers some hope, though their struggles at home, failing to score in five of their 16 matches, are a concern.

Psychologically, Real Madrid holds a clear advantage, having won 10 of their last 12 matches against Getafe. The most frequent scoreline in these encounters, a 2-0 victory for Madrid, underscores their dominance. However, Getafe's home crowd could provide a vital boost, and with five wins in 19 home games against Madrid, the hosts aim to challenge the historical narrative of this rivalry.

This match represents more than just three points; it is a test of determination and ambition. For Real Madrid, a win is crucial to remain in the title race, while Getafe seeks to overcome historical challenges and move closer to the top half of the table. As the game unfolds, the question remains: can Getafe defy the odds, or will Real Madrid's dominance continue?

Getafe - Real Madrid Key Facts

  • Real Madrid have an outstanding record against Getafe CF, winning 30 out of their last 40 encounters, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.

  • Getafe CF have not won any of their last six matches against Real Madrid, indicating a significant psychological disadvantage that could affect their performance.

  • Real Madrid have scored an average of 1.79 goals per away match this season, while Getafe CF averages just 0.71 goals at home, suggesting a substantial disparity in attacking prowess that favours the visitors.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Away Win @ 63/100

Real Madrid’s dominance over Getafe makes the away win an appealing option. The visitors have triumphed in 30 of their last 40 meetings, including the most recent six encounters. Furthermore, Real Madrid average 1.79 goals per match on their travels, while Getafe have only managed five wins in 19 home fixtures against them. Although Real Madrid have shown some inconsistency of late, their superior head-to-head record and Getafe’s struggles against elite opposition make the 63/100 odds for an away win highly attractive.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20

The secondary bet of over 2.5 goals is backed by a strong probability of 71.74%. While the historical average goals per match between these sides stands at 1.8, Real Madrid’s attacking firepower and the stakes involved in this fixture point towards a more open contest. Getafe’s recent form, which includes scoring in each of their last five matches, further supports the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. At 21/20, this bet offers excellent value for a match that could see plenty of goalmouth action.

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