Napoli’s relentless march towards the Serie A title faces another hurdle this Sunday as they welcome a struggling Genoa side to the Stadio San Paolo. Sitting comfortably atop the table with 77 points, Napoli are on the brink of securing the championship. In stark contrast, Genoa languish in 13th place with 39 points, nervously glancing over their shoulders at the relegation zone.
Momentum heavily favours Napoli, who are riding a four-match winning streak and remain unbeaten in their last nine outings. Their home form has been formidable, with 13 wins, two draws, and just two losses this season. Genoa, by comparison, have endured a dismal run on the road, failing to win any of their last nine away matches. To compound their struggles, they have failed to score in their last three games, a worrying sign as they face a Napoli defence that has kept four consecutive clean sheets.
History also leans towards the hosts. Napoli have not lost to Genoa in their last 14 home meetings, winning five of the last nine encounters overall. While the most common result in this fixture has been a 1-1 draw, Genoa’s last away victory in Naples dates back to 2009, highlighting the scale of their challenge. With Napoli averaging two goals per game against Genoa, the visitors will need a monumental effort to end their winless streak.
Key players could prove decisive in this high-stakes clash. Romelu Lukaku, Napoli’s top scorer with 12 goals, spearheads an attack that has been clinical all season. Meanwhile, Genoa will look to Andrea Pinamonti, their leading scorer, to rediscover his form and inspire an unlikely upset.
Napoli - Genoa Key Facts
Napoli have an impressive home record against Genoa, remaining unbeaten in their last 14 encounters at home, which significantly boosts their chances of winning for punters considering a bet on Napoli.
Genoa have not won any of their last 9 away matches, indicating a severe struggle on the road that could lead to a comfortable victory for Napoli.
Napoli have scored at least one goal in their last 6 matches and average 1.8 goals per home game, suggesting a strong likelihood of them finding the net against a Genoa side that has failed to score in 3 consecutive matches.
Napoli vs Genoa Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 3/10
Napoli’s formidable record at Stadio San Paolo makes backing the home win an excellent choice. With 13 wins, 2 draws, and just 2 losses on home soil this season, they have consistently demonstrated their strength in front of their supporters. In contrast, Genoa have struggled away from home, enduring a nine-match winless streak on their travels. Historical head-to-head data further reinforces this selection, as Napoli are unbeaten in their last 14 home fixtures against Genoa. At odds of 3/10, this bet offers solid value given the disparity in form between the two sides.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens
The secondary bet on over 2.5 goals also presents strong potential at evens. Matches between these teams average 3 goals, and Napoli’s recent attacking displays underline their ability to deliver high-scoring encounters, having netted at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches. While Genoa’s lack of goals—failing to score in their last 3 outings—introduces some uncertainty, Napoli’s offensive dominance at home suggests a goal-filled match is likely. With a calculated probability of 73.06%, this bet aligns with both historical trends and current form, making it a compelling option.
