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Leganes vs Espanyol LaLiga: 70% Chance of Over 2.5 Goals Defies Low-Scoring History!

Uncover the crucial stats behind Leganes’s home edge over the Parakeets—Espanyol—at Butarque, and leverage our expert betting preview to maximize your LaLiga predictions for Sunday’s clash.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 07:30, 10 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Leganes
X
Espanyol

Leganes welcome Espanyol to the Estadio Municipal de Butarque this Sunday in a crucial LaLiga relegation showdown. Leganes, languishing in 19th place with just 31 points from 34 matches, are in desperate need of a victory to keep their survival hopes alive. Espanyol, sitting 14th and five points above the drop zone, are looking to steady their form and avoid being dragged into the relegation scrap. Both sides are under immense pressure, with Leganes winless in their last eight matches and Espanyol struggling for consistency on their travels.

Leganes’ home form has been a major concern, with no wins in their last four outings at Butarque. Despite averaging 1.23 goals per home game this season, their attack has faltered in recent weeks, compounding their struggles. Discipline has also been an issue, as they lead LaLiga in red cards this season. However, they will pin their hopes on Daniel Raba, their top scorer with seven goals, to inspire a much-needed turnaround. A win here could be pivotal in their battle for survival.

Espanyol, meanwhile, have shown flashes of improvement, winning two of their last five matches. Yet, their away form remains a glaring weakness, with six scoreless outings in 17 road games this campaign. Javi Puado, who has netted 11 goals this season, will be key to their chances of securing points. Historically, Espanyol have struggled at Butarque, with their last away victory against Leganes dating back to 2019, adding another layer of intrigue to this encounter.

Leganes - Espanyol Key Facts

  • Leganes have demonstrated a strong home advantage against Espanyol, remaining unbeaten in their last three home encounters, with two wins and one draw. This historical performance may influence betting preferences towards a home win or draw.

  • However, Leganes are currently experiencing a challenging period, having failed to secure a victory in their last eight matches overall. This lack of form might discourage bettors from confidently backing them, despite their favorable home record against Espanyol.

  • The average number of goals in matches between Leganes and Espanyol is notably low, at just 1.6 per game. This statistic suggests a tendency for low-scoring games, which could be a key consideration for those evaluating bets on total goals.

Leganes vs Espanyol Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Under 2.5 goals

Leganes and Espanyol face off in a fixture that promises plenty of action, with strong indicators pointing towards a high-scoring affair. The likelihood of under 2.5 goals stands at an impressive 58.12%, bolstered by the teams’ combined attacking output—Leganes average 1.23 goals per match at home, while Espanyol contribute 0.88 goals on their travels. Although their historical head-to-head encounters have produced a modest average of 1.6 goals, recent form and the attacking intent of both sides suggest a more open contest this time around.

Secondary bet: Away Win @ 11/5

Espanyol’s current form makes them a compelling choice for the secondary bet, with a 40.86% probability of securing an away win. Leganes are struggling, having failed to win any of their last eight matches, which significantly strengthens Espanyol’s chances. However, caution is warranted as Leganes have been resilient at home in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last three meetings with Espanyol on their own pitch. Additionally, Espanyol’s last away victory against Leganes dates back to 2019. While the 11/5 odds for an away win are attractive, the primary bet on over 2.5 goals remains the more reliable option.

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