Bologna vs Napoli predictions & betting tips

Bologna face a pivotal moment in their Serie A campaign as they welcome Napoli to the Renato Dall’Ara on Monday, 7 April 2025. Riding the wave of a stunning five-match winning streak, Bologna have climbed to fourth place on 56 points, firmly in the hunt for European qualification. However, their ambitions face a stern test against second-placed Napoli, who sit on 64 points and boast a strong record in this fixture. With both sides desperate for points, this promises to be a high-stakes encounter that could shape the season’s narrative.

Napoli have historically dominated this matchup, winning 22 of their last 42 meetings. Yet Bologna’s recent form and formidable home record—nine wins, five draws, and just one defeat—suggest they are well-equipped to challenge that trend. Napoli’s away scoring average of 1.47 goals per game underlines their attacking prowess on the road, but Bologna’s defensive solidity, highlighted by three consecutive clean sheets, could prove a significant obstacle. The hosts will aim to capitalise on their home advantage and turn the tide in a fixture that has often favoured the visitors.

The outcome may hinge on the performances of key players, with Bologna’s Riccardo Orsolini and Napoli’s Romelu Lukaku taking centre stage. Orsolini, with 11 goals this season, has been instrumental in Bologna’s attacking success, particularly at home, where they average 1.92 goals per game. Meanwhile, Lukaku’s experience and his knack for delivering in high-pressure situations make him a constant danger, especially given his strong track record against Bologna. Their contributions could be decisive in a match likely to be settled by the finest of margins.

As Bologna look to strengthen their European ambitions and rewrite their history against Napoli, the visitors are under pressure to maintain their top-two position. The clash between Bologna’s momentum and Napoli’s pedigree promises an intense, tactical battle. With so much on the line, this fixture could prove a turning point not just for the hosts but for the Serie A standings as a whole.

Bologna - Napoli Key Facts

• Bologna have demonstrated an impressive home record, securing victories in their last seven matches and remaining unbeaten in their last eight home fixtures. This strong form could significantly influence their performance against Napoli.

• Napoli, on the other hand, have only suffered one defeat in their last five encounters with Bologna across all competitions. This historical dominance highlights their potential resilience in this matchup.

• The average number of goals in matches between Bologna and Napoli stands at 2.8. This statistic suggests a likelihood of a high-scoring game, which could be a key consideration for punters exploring over/under betting options.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 3/2

Bologna’s attacking prowess combined with Napoli’s defensive frailties makes "over 2.5 goals" an excellent betting option. Bologna have been prolific at home, averaging 1.92 goals per match, while Napoli have managed 1.47 goals per fixture on their travels. Historical encounters further bolster this prediction, with an average of 2.8 goals per match when these sides face off. Adding to the appeal, Bologna have found the net in each of their last six matches, while Napoli have failed to secure a clean sheet in three of their previous five away fixtures, pointing towards a likely high-scoring affair.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 19/10

Backing Bologna for a "home win" also presents strong value. The hosts are riding a six-match winning streak, including five consecutive Serie A victories, and boast an impressive home record of 9-5-1 this season. They are unbeaten in their last eight home fixtures, showcasing consistency and resilience. In contrast, Napoli’s recent form has been less convincing, and Bologna’s momentum, coupled with their home advantage, positions them as a solid choice to pull off a potential upset.