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Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim: Bundesliga Clash Promises Goals With 3.6 Average Per Match

Uncover why Bayern Munich’s dominant 23-win record in 35 meetings with TSG Hoffenheim could fuel your smartest Bundesliga bets for Saturday’s clash at PreZero Arena—read our full prediction and stats breakdown now.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 10:30, 16 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

TSG Hoffenheim
X
Bayern Munich

The PreZero Arena is set to host a Bundesliga clash this Saturday, 17 May, as Hoffenheim take on Bayern Munich. While Bayern have already wrapped up the title, Hoffenheim could still be relegated if they lose heavily here. The stark contrast in fortunes adds intrigue, with Hoffenheim desperate to snap a four-match winless streak and Bayern looking to end their campaign on a high. Historically, Bayern have dominated this matchup, winning 23 of their 35 meetings, but Hoffenheim’s fight for survival could make this a gripping contest.

For Hoffenheim, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A goal difference of -18 and just one win in their last five outings underline their struggles this season. The pressure to deliver at home is immense, particularly with relegation looming large. Andrej Kramaric, their leading scorer with 11 goals, will be key to unlocking Bayern’s formidable defence. However, Hoffenheim’s habit of conceding late could prove costly against a Bayern side renowned for their strong finishes, with 22% of their goals coming in the dying minutes.

Bayern arrive in imperious form, unbeaten in their last five matches and averaging an impressive 2.93 goals per game on the road. Harry Kane has been instrumental, netting 24 goals this season, and his partnership with Michael Olise could pose significant problems for Hoffenheim’s backline. Bayern’s dominance in this fixture, with eight wins in their last 13 encounters, reinforces their status as favourites. Yet, with the title race still alive, any complacency could be punished.

Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Key Facts

  • Bayern Munich have an impressive record against Hoffenheim, winning 23 out of their last 35 encounters, which highlights their dominance in this fixture and suggests a strong likelihood of victory for punters backing Bayern.

  • Hoffenheim have not won in their last four matches, while Bayern are unbeaten in their last five games, indicating a significant disparity in current form that could influence the outcome of the match.

  • Bayern Munich have scored an average of 2.93 goals per away match this season, while Hoffenheim concede an average of 1.62 goals at home, suggesting that a high-scoring game in favour of Bayern is a strong possibility.

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 1/4

The upcoming fixture between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich promises goals, making the "over 2.5 goals" market the standout selection. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals per match, with Bayern Munich scoring an impressive 2.93 goals per away game this season, while Hoffenheim contribute 1.62 goals per home match. Furthermore, both teams have found the net in 15 of Bayern's last 16 away fixtures, highlighting the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter. With an implied probability of 82.68% and odds of 1/4, this bet offers a reliable option for those seeking consistency.

Secondary Bet:Bayern Munich to win @ 9/20

Backing "Bayern Munich to win" is another strong recommendation, supported by their dominance in this fixture and current form. Bayern have triumphed in 8 of their last 16 away matches against Hoffenheim and boast an impressive away record this season (10 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Meanwhile, Hoffenheim have struggled at home in this matchup, managing just 4 wins in their last 16 encounters with Bayern. Although Hoffenheim have scored in 7 consecutive matches, Bayern’s superior quality and consistency make them clear favourites, justifying the 9/20 odds despite offering slightly lower value.

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