Atletico Madrid will host Real Sociedad at the Wanda Metropolitano this Saturday, 10 May, in a LaLiga match. Atletico, currently third with 67 points, are nearing Champions League qualification, while Real Sociedad, positioned 11th with 43 points, aim to improve their standing. Both teams are coming off draws, adding urgency to this late-season encounter.
Atletico Madrid's impressive home record has been a cornerstone of their success this season. With 12 wins, four draws, and only one loss at the Wanda Metropolitano, they have established a formidable presence under Diego Simeone. Additionally, Atletico are unbeaten in their last 11 home games against Real Sociedad. Conversely, Real Sociedad have struggled away from home, failing to score in nine matches, a trend they must overcome.
Key players could play a decisive role in this match. Atletico's Julian Alvarez, with 15 goals this season, has been a consistent offensive force. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad's Mikel Oyarzabal, their leading scorer with eight goals, will need to deliver an exceptional performance to inspire his team. The previous encounter between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw, but Atletico's unbeaten streak in their last five meetings gives them a psychological edge.
Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Facts
Atletico Madrid have an impressive home record against Real Sociedad, winning 16 of their last 26 encounters at home, with a dominant goal difference of 51-22, making them strong favourites for this match.
Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches against Real Sociedad, which highlights their consistent superiority in this fixture and suggests a high likelihood of victory.
Real Sociedad have failed to score in 9 of their last 17 away matches in LaLiga, indicating significant struggles in attack that could lead to a low-scoring game against a solid Atletico defence.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 8/13
Atletico Madrid’s formidable home record and historical superiority over Real Sociedad make the home win an excellent betting option. Atletico have triumphed in 16 of their last 26 home fixtures against Sociedad and are enjoying an outstanding home campaign this season, with 12 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 defeat. Furthermore, Sociedad have not managed an away victory at Atletico since 2013, underlining the hosts’ dominance in this fixture. With Atletico on form and this match carrying significant weight in their title challenge, the 8/13 odds represent strong value for a likely outcome.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens
For the secondary bet, backing over 2.5 goals at evens offers an attractive opportunity. Statistical models indicate a 76.5% likelihood of this outcome, supported by Atletico’s average of 1.93 goals per home match and Sociedad’s 1.24 goals per away match. While recent encounters have seen fewer goals, the historical average of 2 goals per meeting and Atletico’s attacking prowess at home suggest a more open, higher-scoring contest is probable. This selection complements the primary bet, providing additional value for those seeking a profitable return.
