The stakes are high as Atalanta and Roma lock horns at the Gewiss Stadium on Monday, 12 May 2025, in a crucial Serie A showdown. With Atalanta sitting third and Roma fifth, this fixture could prove decisive in the race for Champions League qualification. Atalanta, on 68 points from 35 matches, hold a narrow advantage, but Roma, just five points behind, remain firmly in contention. Both sides are in fine form—Atalanta are unbeaten in their last four matches, while Roma boast an impressive seven-game unbeaten streak.
Atalanta’s home form and attacking prowess could be pivotal, with the hosts averaging 1.93 goals per match. Mateo Retegui, their talismanic striker with 24 goals this season, will be central to their efforts to breach a Roma defence that has kept three consecutive clean sheets. Adding to Atalanta’s confidence is their recent dominance over Roma, having won four of the last five encounters. They also remain unbeaten against Roma in all competitions during this period, a psychological advantage they’ll aim to exploit.
The rivalry between these two clubs adds an extra layer of intrigue. While Roma lead the historical head-to-head with 24 wins in 52 meetings, Atalanta’s resurgence in recent years has shifted the dynamic. Their last clash ended in a commanding two-goal victory for Atalanta, and with an average of 2.4 goals per match in their encounters, another high-scoring affair seems likely. Roma will look to Artem Dovbyk to spearhead their attack and counter Atalanta’s firepower as they fight to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
This is more than just a battle for three points—it’s a defining moment in both teams’ campaigns. With Atalanta’s +40 goal difference and Roma’s momentum, the stage is set for a thrilling contest. The outcome could not only shake up the Serie A table but also leave a lasting mark on the race for European football.
Atalanta - Roma Key Facts
Atalanta have an impressive recent record against Roma, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters across all competitions, winning four of those matches, which indicates a strong psychological advantage for Atalanta going into this fixture.
Roma have not managed to secure a victory in their last five Serie A games against Atalanta, highlighting their struggles in this matchup and suggesting a potential lack of confidence for punters considering backing them.
Atalanta have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match against Roma, while Roma averages only 0.6 goals in the same context, indicating a significant disparity in attacking effectiveness that could influence betting on total goals or match outcomes.
Atalanta vs Roma Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5
Atalanta’s upcoming fixture against Roma is set to deliver plenty of action, with both sides boasting strong attacking records. Atalanta average an impressive 1.93 goals per home match, while Roma contribute 1.03 goals per away fixture. Historical encounters between these teams produce an average of 2.4 goals per match, and Roma have found the net in an impressive 20 consecutive matches, underlining their attacking consistency. With a calculated 73.36% probability for over 2.5 goals and odds of 4/5, this market presents excellent value, particularly given the offensive firepower on both sides.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ Evens
A home win for Atalanta at even odds is another appealing option. Atalanta have claimed victory in four of their last five meetings with Roma and remain unbeaten in their last five encounters overall. Their home advantage is evident, with 10 wins in their last 25 home matches against Roma. While Roma arrive on a three-match winning streak, Atalanta’s recent form and historical dominance in this fixture make them a strong candidate to secure all three points.
