Fiorentina vs Atalanta predictions & betting tips

This Sunday, the Stadio Artemio Franchi takes centre stage as Fiorentina welcome Atalanta for a pivotal Serie A encounter. Fiorentina are pushing to bolster their European aspirations, while Atalanta are fighting to cement their place in the Champions League spots. Historically, the hosts have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning 57% of their last 28 home meetings against their Bergamo rivals. However, Atalanta’s impressive average of 1.94 goals per match on the road suggests they are more than capable of upsetting the odds.

Fiorentina come into this clash on the back of three consecutive home wins, underlining their strong form at the Franchi. With an average of 2.23 goals per game on home soil, their attacking prowess has been evident. Atalanta, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, managing just two wins in their last five outings. Yet, their ability to find the net in 13 of their last 15 away matches highlights their attacking threat and resilience.

The rivalry between these two sides adds further intrigue. Fiorentina have dominated recent meetings, winning 16 of their last 28 home clashes with Atalanta, including both fixtures last season. With an average of 4.2 goals per game in their encounters, supporters can anticipate another high-scoring affair.

Key players are likely to determine the outcome. Fiorentina’s Moise Kean, who has netted 15 goals this season, will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from the visitors. Atalanta, however, will look to Serie A’s second-highest scorer, Mateo Retegui, whose 22 goals make him a constant danger. With both sides desperate for points to shape their campaigns, this promises to be an enthralling showdown in Florence.

Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Facts

• Fiorentina have an impressive home record against Atalanta, winning 16 of their last 28 encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them a strong candidate for victory in upcoming matches.

• Last season, Fiorentina triumphed in both fixtures against Atalanta, winning 3-2 in each match, indicating a psychological edge and recent form favouring Fiorentina in this rivalry.

• Fiorentina have scored at least one goal in their last five matches, while Atalanta have failed to score in two of their last 15 away matches, suggesting Fiorentina's attacking consistency could exploit Atalanta's vulnerabilities on the road.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 91/100

This clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta promises plenty of action in front of goal, with a 73.96% probability of over 2.5 goals according to statistical models. Their recent encounters have been goal-heavy, averaging 4.2 goals per match. Fiorentina boast a strong home scoring record, netting an average of 2.23 goals per match at home, while Atalanta are equally impressive on the road, scoring 1.94 goals per away fixture. Both sides have shown occasional defensive lapses, but their attacking potency makes this a high-value betting opportunity.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 7/10

The secondary bet on both teams to score is supported by a 53.63% probability and recent form trends. Fiorentina have found the net in each of their last five matches, with their leading scorer, Moise Kean, in fine form, tallying 15 goals this season. Atalanta’s attack is spearheaded by Mateo Retegui, who has already scored 22 goals this campaign. While Atalanta have failed to score in just two of their last 15 away fixtures, their overall attacking quality, combined with Fiorentina’s consistent home scoring, makes this a strong complementary option.