AC Milan and Monza are set to meet in a rather depressing dead rubber at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza on Saturday, 24 May. Milan, currently 9th with 60 points, aim to extend their three-match winning streak. Meanwhile, Monza, languishing at the foot of the table with just 18 points, have been relegated for a while after a dismal campaign.
Historically, Milan have dominated this fixture, winning six of their last eight meetings with Monza. Their home advantage is particularly pronounced, having avoided defeat in their last four encounters at the Meazza. This dominance is underscored by a 75% win rate against Monza over the past decade. However, there is an element of unpredictability about this meeting, brought about by the freedom of both teams having absolutely nothing to play for, especially given the high-scoring nature of their past clashes, which average 3.2 goals per game.
The current form of both sides highlights their contrasting qualities. Milan approach the match with a +16 goal difference and growing confidence, while Monza struggle with a -39 goal difference and just one win in their last five outings. Christian Pulisic, Milan’s top scorer with 11 goals, will be key to unlocking Monza’s defence, which has conceded in 12 consecutive matches. For Monza, Dany Mota, their leading scorer with five goals, carries the burden of their attacking hopes, though their lack of firepower remains a glaring issue.
AC Milan - Monza Key Facts
AC Milan have an impressive record against Monza, winning 8 of their last 10 encounters, with a dominant goal difference of 24-8, indicating their strong historical performance and making them favourites for this match.
Monza have struggled on the road, winning only 2 of their 18 away matches in Serie A this season, which significantly undermines their chances against a formidable home side like Milan.
Milan have scored an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while Monza averages just 0.76 goals away, highlighting a stark contrast in attacking prowess that could influence the match outcome.
AC Milan vs Monza Betting Predictions
Primary Bet:Home Win @ 11/50
AC Milan's strong form and historical superiority make them firm favourites against Monza in this fixture. Milan have triumphed in 8 of their last 10 meetings with Monza and remain unbeaten in their previous 4 home clashes against this opponent. Currently on a three-match winning streak in Serie A, Milan are showcasing consistency, while Monza have struggled significantly on their travels, managing just 2 wins in their last 18 away matches. These factors underline the value in backing a "home win" at 11/50, a bet that aligns with both form and historical trends.
Secondary Bet:Over 2.5 Goals @ 9/25
The secondary bet on "over 2.5 goals" is well-supported by the numbers. Matches between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals historically, and Milan's home scoring rate of 1.83 goals per game adds further weight to this prediction. Monza's defensive frailties—having conceded in each of their last 12 matches—are another key factor. While Monza's away scoring average of 0.76 goals per game is modest, Milan's attacking prowess should ensure a high-scoring encounter. At 9/25, the odds for Over 2.5 Goals present a solid value opportunity for bettors.
