The battle for European qualification takes centre stage this Friday as AC Milan welcome Bologna to the iconic Giuseppe Meazza. With just three matches remaining in the Serie A season, the stakes could not be higher. AC Milan, sitting ninth on 57 points, are desperate to salvage a disappointing campaign, while seventh-placed Bologna, on 62 points, aim to solidify their position. Both sides are chasing a crucial victory to keep their European dreams alive, setting the stage for a high-stakes encounter.
Historically, AC Milan have dominated this fixture, winning 31 of their 49 meetings with Bologna. The Rossoneri have also been formidable at home, remaining unbeaten in their last eight clashes against Bologna at the Giuseppe Meazza. Bologna’s last away win in this matchup came back in 2016, highlighting their struggles on the road. However, recent encounters have been more competitive, with Bologna securing a win and two draws in their last five meetings, suggesting they are no longer easy prey.
Current form adds further intrigue. AC Milan have shown glimpses of their quality with three wins in their last five matches, while Bologna have demonstrated resilience, going unbeaten in four of their last five outings. For the hosts, Rafael Leão and Olivier Giroud will be key, particularly given their knack for late goals. Bologna, led by Marko Arnautović and Riccardo Orsolini, must overcome their away-day woes, having failed to score in six of their 17 road fixtures this season.
With European qualification hanging in the balance, this match could shape the trajectory of both teams’ campaigns. AC Milan’s strong home record and historical dominance give them the edge, but Bologna’s determination to break their away curse injects an air of unpredictability. Supporters can expect a fiercely contested battle as these two sides fight to keep their European ambitions alive.
AC Milan - Bologna Key Facts
AC Milan have an impressive home record against Bologna, winning 15 of their last 24 encounters at the San Siro, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.
Bologna have only managed to win once in their last five Serie A games against AC Milan, indicating a significant struggle to secure points against this opponent, which could influence betting on AC Milan's victory.
AC Milan have not lost to Bologna in their last eight home meetings, reinforcing their strong home advantage and suggesting a high likelihood of a home win for punters.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 10/11
The primary recommendation of over 2.5 goals is backed by a strong 71.54% probability, highlighting its value. Historically, fixtures between AC Milan and Bologna average 2.6 goals, and both teams' scoring trends align with this pattern. AC Milan have been prolific at home, averaging 1.9 goals per match, while Bologna contribute an average of 1.07 goals on their travels. These figures point to a high-scoring encounter, particularly given the attacking capabilities of both sides. At odds of 10/11, this bet offers excellent potential for returns.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 6/4
The secondary bet of a home win for AC Milan is supported by their impressive head-to-head record, with 15 victories in their last 24 home meetings against Bologna. Furthermore, Milan are unbeaten in their previous eight home fixtures against this opponent, underlining their dominance. While Bologna managed a recent win over Milan, the home side's superior form—three wins and a draw in their last five matches—contrasts sharply with Bologna's single win in the same period. At 6/4, the odds present solid value, especially given Milan's historical superiority and current momentum.
