Milan and Lazio will engage in a make-or-break Serie A encounter at the Giuseppe Meazza this Sunday, with both sides looking to have their fortunes reversed after recent slumps. The eighth-placed hosts are just three points behind fifth-placed Lazio, and both teams are desperate in this game to keep their European ambitions alive. Form in recent games has been a concern for Milan, having lost three of their previous five, but Lazio do not have much to gain despite patchy form.
History is on the home side's favour, with Milan having emerged victorious in 22 of the last 39 home fixtures against Lazio. The Rossoneri's superiority at the Giuseppe Meazza is particularly evident, with Lazio's most recent away victory in this fixture dating back to 2019. This psychological advantage, coupled with Milan's current 13-match unbeaten run at home, weighs heavily in their favour.
Top players may hold the key to this matchup. Milan's Tijani Reijnders has been a key player with eight goals this season, and Christian Pulisic's recent form provides further attacking potency. Lazio's prospects appear to depend largely on Taty Castellanos, who has scored nine times this season, although their inability to score in their previous two games raises questions about their attacking capabilities.
European qualification remains the priority for both sides. A Milan victory can propel them into the top seven, while Lazio need to cement their grip on a European spot. With the home side averaging 2.03 goals at home and Lazio averaging 1.45 away goals, this promises to be an intriguing tactical battle between two sides with everything to lose.
Betting Predictions
Primary Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
Secondary Bet: Milan Win @ 2.05
The current form provides a compelling argument for goals at the San Siro, with Milan averaging 2.03 goals per home match and Lazio being impressive travelers with 1.45 goals per away match.
The long-term head-to-head average provides 2.6 goals per match, and both teams have been in good attacking form of late. With both teams eager to respond to recent setbacks, the over 2.5 goals market is excellent value at 1.80.
Milan's good home record against their Roman equivalents lends strong support to the home victory, having won 22 of 39 encounters at the San Siro.
The hosts are enjoying a beautiful 13-match undefeated run at home, and Lazio have not tasted victory here since 2019. Despite Lazio's current four-match unbeaten streak, Milan's recent dominance of this matchup - including last season's double - combined with their fine home record (6-6-1) makes the 2.05 on a home victory particularly appealing.
Editorial Pick
Milan have been abysmal since Sergio Conceicao took over, to the surprise of many. Expect Lazio to take all three points back to Rome this weekend and continue their push for Champions League qualification.
