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Liverpool vs Southampton predictions & betting tips

Craig Hanson By Craig Hanson, Editor-in-Chief
Published: 10:00, 7 Mar 2025
Sporticos
Sporticos
Discover why the Reds' flawless home record of winning every match after taking a 1-0 lead could be the key insight for your Premier League betting strategy as Liverpool host struggling Southampton at Anfield

Anfield will host a high-stakes Premier League encounter this Saturday as Liverpool, the league leaders, take on bottom-placed Southampton. With Liverpool chasing the title and Southampton battling to avoid relegation, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Reds hold a commanding 19-point advantage over their struggling visitors and remain unbeaten at home in 18 matches. Southampton, on the other hand, arrive on the back of four consecutive defeats, desperate to turn their season around in what could be a pivotal clash for both sides.

Liverpool’s formidable home form has been a cornerstone of their campaign, boasting 10 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss at Anfield this season. Averaging 2.38 goals per home game, they have also kept clean sheets in their last three outings, underlining their defensive strength. History is firmly on their side, with six consecutive home victories over Southampton, 3-0 being the most common scoreline. Southampton’s away struggles are stark, with just one win in 14 matches, highlighting the scale of the challenge ahead.

Key players are likely to define the outcome. Mohamed Salah, Liverpool’s talisman, leads the league in both goals and assists, with 25 strikes this season. His contributions have been vital to Liverpool’s attacking prowess. For Southampton, Joe Aribo has struggled to make a significant impact, managing only three goals. If the visitors are to pull off an upset, Aribo will need to rise to the occasion against a resolute Liverpool defence.

As the title race intensifies and the relegation battle grows fiercer, this fixture could prove decisive. Liverpool have the opportunity to tighten their grip on the summit, while Southampton fight to keep their survival hopes alive. With contrasting fortunes and everything to play for, supporters can expect a dramatic showdown at Anfield.

Liverpool - Southampton Key Facts

Liverpool have an impressive home record against Southampton, winning 17 of their last 26 encounters at Anfield, with a dominant goal difference of 56-19, making them strong favourites for this match.

Southampton are currently on a dismal run, having lost their last four matches and failing to score in six of their fourteen away games this season, indicating significant struggles in both form and attack.

Liverpool have not lost any of their last 18 home matches and have kept a clean sheet in three consecutive games, showcasing their defensive solidity and making them a reliable option for punters.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet: Home Win @ 1/8

Liverpool’s formidable record at Anfield, combined with Southampton’s dismal away performances, makes a home win the standout selection. Liverpool have triumphed in 17 of their last 26 home meetings with Southampton and are unbeaten in their previous 18 matches at Anfield. This season alone, they boast an impressive home record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat. Meanwhile, Southampton are in dire form, losing their last four matches and securing only one victory in their previous 14 away fixtures. With Liverpool on a three-match home winning streak and Southampton struggling near the foot of the Premier League table, the odds of 3/25 for a home win represent strong value.

Secondary Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/4

The secondary bet of over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both teams’ recent trends and historical encounters. Matches between these sides average 4.6 goals per fixture, and Liverpool have found the net in each of their last six games, while Southampton have conceded in their last eight. Liverpool average 2.38 goals per match at home, while Southampton are shipping an average of 2.14 goals per away fixture. These statistics, coupled with Liverpool’s attacking prowess and Southampton’s defensive frailties, suggest a high-scoring match is likely. At odds of 1/4, this bet complements the primary selection and offers a reliable secondary option.

Editorial Pick: Winning Margin - Liverpool (3) @ 15/4

The hosts are expected to absolutely batter the Premier League's bottom feeders. Southampton have been dreadful all season and been on the end of a few well-deserved shellackings. Liverpool are having a season to remember. Mo Salah is on fire. A heavy, heavy win for The Reds seems to be an easy bet.

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