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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen predictions & betting tips

Discover how VfB Stuttgart's dramatic 20-point drop from last season's heights could impact their crucial Bundesliga clash with Werder Bremen at Mercedes Benz Arena.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 12:56, 12 Apr 2025

The Mercedes Benz Arena is set to host a crucial Bundesliga match this Sunday as Stuttgart face Werder Bremen in a game that could significantly impact the relegation battle. Stuttgart currently hold the 11th position with 37 points, just one point ahead of 12th-placed Bremen, making this a vital match for both teams. A win would provide a critical buffer from the relegation zone and a morale boost as the season nears its conclusion.

Stuttgart's home advantage might play a pivotal role, but Bremen's resilience in away games adds an intriguing aspect to this encounter. Stuttgart have shown inconsistency with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, yet their impressive home scoring average of 2.31 goals per game makes them a formidable opponent. Conversely, Bremen have a mixed record of three wins and two losses in their last five games, with an away scoring average of 1.65 goals per game, setting the stage for a tactical battle.

The historical rivalry between these teams adds further drama. Their last meeting ended in a draw, and Bremen have lost only once in their previous five encounters with Stuttgart, giving them a slight psychological advantage. However, Stuttgart's 14 victories in their last 29 home games against Bremen highlight their dominance at the Mercedes Benz Arena. Notably, the most common result between these teams is a goalless draw, emphasizing the importance of defensive discipline.

Key players Angelo Stiller and Marvin Ducksch are expected to have significant impacts. Stiller's midfield control could enhance Stuttgart's attacking capabilities, while Ducksch's precise finishing makes him Bremen's primary threat. With both teams fighting for survival, this match promises to be an intense and season-defining showdown.

Stuttgart - Werder Bremen Key Facts

  • Werder Bremen have lost just 1 of their last 5 encounters against Stuttgart across all competitions, indicating a strong recent form that could influence betting on their chances of avoiding defeat in the upcoming match.

  • Stuttgart have won only 1 of their last 5 Bundesliga games against Bremen, suggesting a trend of struggle against this opponent that punters should consider when placing bets.

  • The average number of goals in matches between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen is 3, highlighting a propensity for high-scoring games, which may be relevant for those considering over/under goal bets.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 11/25

Stuttgart and Werder Bremen are set for an exciting, high-scoring fixture, with statistical analysis indicating an 84.1% probability of "over 2.5 goals". Stuttgart have been prolific at home, averaging 2.31 goals per match, while Bremen have shown attacking intent on the road, scoring an average of 1.65 goals. Historical clashes between these sides have consistently delivered, with an average of 3 goals per game. Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded in three of their last five away matches, further bolster the value of this bet at 11/25 odds.

Secondary Bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes @ 1/2

The secondary recommendation, "Both Teams To Score: Yes", is supported by a 63.17% probability and the consistent scoring form of both teams. Bremen have scored in each of their last six matches, while Stuttgart have netted in 13 of their 14 home fixtures this season. Stuttgart’s tendency to score late goals under pressure adds an extra layer of confidence to this selection. At 1/2 odds, this wager offers strong value, reflecting the attacking prowess and recent form of both sides.

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