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Torino vs Venezia predictions & betting tips

Uncover why Venezia FC’s remarkable record at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino could shape your smartest Serie A bets for Friday’s clash between the Granata and the Winged Lions.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 13:30, 1 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Torino
X
Venezia

The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will host a Serie A clash this Friday, 2 May 2025, as Torino take on Venezia at 19:45. Torino, sitting 10th in the table, are looking to consolidate their mid-table position, while Venezia, languishing in 18th, are desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone. With an eight-point gap separating the sides, the stakes are immense for both teams in this pivotal encounter.

Torino’s impressive home form could be the deciding factor, as they remain unbeaten in their last eight matches on their own turf. Che Adams, the team’s leading scorer with nine goals, will be key to breaking down a Venezia defence that has struggled all season, as evidenced by their -21 goal difference. Venezia’s away woes are equally glaring, with the side failing to win any of their last 18 matches on the road. Adding to their challenge, Torino have shown a knack for striking late, scoring 32% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes—the highest percentage in the league.

Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested, with both teams claiming six wins from their last 15 meetings. However, Torino’s last home victory over Venezia came back in 1999, a statistic that may linger in the minds of the hosts. That said, Torino’s recent head-to-head success, including a win in their previous encounter, could provide a psychological boost. For Venezia, standout performances will be required, particularly from Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, who leads the team with four goals this season.

As the relegation battle heats up, the implications of this match are enormous. A win for Torino would solidify their mid-table standing, while Venezia risk slipping deeper into trouble with a defeat. With an average of 2.2 goals per game in their meetings, this promises to be an intense and potentially high-scoring affair that could significantly shape the remainder of both teams’ campaigns.

Torino - Venezia Key Facts

  • Torino have demonstrated a strong home performance, remaining unbeaten in their last 8 home matches. This record significantly boosts their prospects of achieving a favorable result against Venezia.

  • Venezia, on the other hand, have struggled considerably in away games, failing to secure a victory in their last 18 matches on the road. This lack of form is a critical factor to consider when assessing their chances in this fixture.

  • Historically, in their last 15 encounters, Torino have achieved 3 victories compared to Venezia FC's 6 wins. However, Torino's recent form against Venezia indicates they have lost only 1 of their last 5 meetings, suggesting a competitive advantage.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Home Win @ 6/5

Torino’s impressive home form makes them a strong choice to secure victory against Venezia. Torino are unbeaten in their last eight home fixtures, and when taking a 1-0 lead at home, they go on to win 77% of the time. In contrast, Venezia have been dreadful on their travels, failing to win any of their last 18 away matches this season. While Torino have historically struggled against Venezia on home soil, the hosts’ current form combined with the visitors’ woeful away record makes a home win at 6/5 excellent value.

Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 69/50

The secondary bet on over 2.5 goals is supported by both sides’ defensive frailties and scoring patterns. Torino average 1.1 goals per home match, while Venezia manage 0.92 goals per away fixture. Their head-to-head meetings see an average of 2.2 goals per match. Additionally, Venezia have failed to score in 7 of their 17 away games, which could lead to an open contest with plenty of chances. With a probability of 63.78% and odds of 69/50, this selection offers solid value for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

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