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Cardiff vs Stoke predictions & betting tips

Discover why Cardiff City's dramatic fall from 11th place and 56 points last season to their current 22nd position could be crucial in their Championship clash with Stoke City at Cardiff City Stadium.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 12:35, 11 Apr 2025

Cardiff City welcome Stoke City to the Cardiff City Stadium this Saturday for a crucial Championship fixture with significant implications at both ends of the table. The Bluebirds, sitting 21st and battling to escape the relegation zone, face a Stoke side precariously placed in 18th, just four points clear of danger. With neither team managing a win in their last outing, the urgency to secure three points is palpable. For Cardiff, a victory could provide a vital boost in their fight for survival.

The home side will look to make the most of their familiar surroundings, but recent form suggests a tough challenge ahead. Cardiff have drawn three of their last five matches, struggling to convert performances into wins. Stoke, on the other hand, have endured a torrid run on the road, losing their last four away games. However, the Potters have shown glimpses of resilience, picking up two wins in their previous five fixtures. With Cardiff averaging 1.52 goals per game at home and Stoke managing 1.27 on their travels, defensive solidity could prove decisive in this encounter.

History favours Cardiff in this fixture, with the Welsh side unbeaten in their last six home meetings against Stoke. The Potters have not claimed an away win in Cardiff since 2007, a statistic that will undoubtedly play on their minds. Matches between these two have often been lively affairs, averaging three goals per game, and Cardiff will aim to extend their dominance against a Stoke side struggling for consistency on the road.

Key players are likely to shape the outcome of this high-stakes clash. Callum Robinson, Cardiff’s leading scorer with 12 goals, will spearhead their attack, while Rubin Colwill’s creativity, evidenced by his four assists, could unlock Stoke’s defence. For the visitors, Lewis Baker and Million Manhoef will look to inspire a turnaround, with Baker contributing five goals this season. With survival on the line, this promises to be a dramatic and potentially season-defining encounter.

Cardiff City - Stoke City Key Facts

  • Cardiff have an impressive home record against Stoke, remaining unbeaten in their last six encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them a strong bet for victory in this matchup.

  • Stoke are struggling on the road, having lost their last four away matches in the Championship, indicating a significant vulnerability that punters should consider when placing bets.

  • Cardiff have not lost any of their last five games against Stoke across all competitions, further emphasising their current upper hand and making them a reliable option for betting.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet:Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5

Cardiff City and Stoke City have consistently delivered high-scoring fixtures, averaging 3 goals per match in their previous meetings. Cardiff have been particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 1.52 goals per game, while Stoke contribute 1.27 goals per match on their travels. Both sides are in scoring form, with Cardiff netting in each of their last five matches. With a 71.78% probability for "over 2.5 goals" and odds of 6/5, this bet presents excellent value, supported by both historical trends and current form.

Secondary Bet:Home Win @ 6/5

The secondary bet of a Cardiff "home win" is bolstered by their impressive record against Stoke on home turf, where they remain unbeaten in their last six encounters. Stoke’s poor away form, highlighted by four consecutive losses, further strengthens this prediction. Cardiff have also won five of their last 12 home fixtures against Stoke, with the visitors’ last victory in Cardiff dating back to 2007. While Cardiff may sit lower in the league table, their dominance in this fixture and Stoke’s ongoing struggles away from home make this a strong option at 6/5 odds.

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