The stage is set for a crucial LaLiga showdown as Villarreal welcome Osasuna to the Estadio de La Cerámica on Saturday, 3 May 2025, at 15:15. With European qualification at stake, Villarreal, currently fifth, are under pressure to overcome their recent home struggles. Meanwhile, eighth-placed Osasuna are aiming to maintain their resurgence and secure a top-half finish. Both sides bring contrasting form into this high-stakes clash, which could prove pivotal in shaping their seasons.
Villarreal’s home form has been a concern, with the Yellow Submarine winless in their last four matches on home turf. Despite an overall home record of five wins, seven draws, and three losses this season, defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Their scoring average of 2.11 goals per match at home underlines their attacking prowess, but they must tighten up at the back to keep their European ambitions on track. Against a confident Osasuna, rediscovering their home advantage will be vital.
Osasuna, in contrast, arrive in excellent form, riding a three-match winning streak and unbeaten in their last five outings. However, their away record remains a weak point, with just two wins from 16 attempts this season. Averaging 1.32 goals per match on the road, they will need to address their travel struggles to trouble Villarreal. With Ante Budimir leading the line and netting 18 goals this season, Osasuna’s chances may hinge on striking early against a Villarreal side known for late-game heroics.
Historically, Villarreal have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of their last 22 home meetings with Osasuna. Their most recent encounter ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, highlighting the competitive edge between these sides. As Villarreal aim to extend their unbeaten home run against Osasuna, the psychological weight of their recent struggles adds an extra layer of intrigue. With Ayoze Perez and Budimir pivotal for their respective teams, this clash promises drama, goals, and significant implications for both clubs’ ambitions.
Villarreal - Osasuna Key Facts
Villarreal have an impressive home record against Osasuna, winning 14 of the last 22 encounters at home, which highlights their dominance and makes them strong favourites for this match.
Osasuna are currently unbeaten in their last five matches, indicating a positive form trend that could challenge Villarreal's recent struggles at home.
Villarreal have not lost any of their last five meetings against Osasuna in all competitions, suggesting a psychological edge that could influence the outcome of this fixture.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/13
Villarreal's impressive attacking output at home, averaging 2.11 goals per match, combined with Osasuna's respectable 1.32 goals per game on their travels, makes Over 2.5 goals the standout betting choice. Historical trends further bolster this selection, with past encounters between these sides averaging three goals per match and statistical models indicating a 71.17% likelihood of surpassing the 2.5-goal mark. Notably, four of their last five meetings have delivered high-scoring outcomes, underlining the potential for another goal-laden fixture.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 11/20
The secondary bet on a Villarreal victory is supported by their strong head-to-head record, having secured 14 wins in their last 22 home clashes with Osasuna, alongside a commanding home goal difference of 40-21 in those matches. While Villarreal's recent home form is a concern, with no wins in their last four outings, they remain unbeaten in their last five encounters with Osasuna. With Villarreal eager to end their winless run and their historical dominance providing a psychological advantage, backing the home side to claim all three points is a solid alternative for bettors.
