Tottenham vs Nottm Forest predictions & betting tips

Tottenham Hotspur and Nottingham Forest are set to clash in a pivotal Premier League match at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday, 21 April 2025. Tottenham, currently 15th with 37 points, are striving to avoid relegation, while Nottingham, positioned 4th with 57 points, aim to solidify their European football aspirations. Both teams enter this encounter following defeats, adding urgency to this critical fixture.

Historically, Tottenham have dominated this rivalry, securing victories in four of their last six meetings with Nottingham. Nottingham, however, will draw confidence from their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in 2023, despite not having won at Tottenham since 1997. Tottenham’s strong home form, averaging two goals per game and remaining unbeaten in their last five home matches against Nottingham, could play a decisive role. Nevertheless, defensive vulnerabilities persist for Spurs, who have conceded in their last ten matches.

Key players are expected to influence the match's outcome. Tottenham’s Brennan Johnson, with 11 goals this season, will look to challenge Nottingham’s defense, while Chris Wood, Nottingham’s top scorer with 18 goals, poses a significant threat for the visitors. The teams’ contrasting scoring patterns—Tottenham often scoring late and Nottingham favoring early goals—add an intriguing tactical dimension to the game.

As the season nears its conclusion, the stakes are high for both teams. Tottenham will rely on their home crowd to boost their survival fight, while Nottingham aim to continue their impressive campaign. With historical trends favoring Tottenham but momentum on Nottingham’s side, this match promises to be an exciting contest with significant implications for both teams.

Tottenham - Nottm Forest Key Facts

• Tottenham Hotspur have a strong home advantage against Nottingham Forest, having not lost in their last five encounters at home, which is crucial for punters considering the team's historical performance in this fixture.

• Last season, Tottenham Hotspur won both league matches against Nottingham Forest, scoring a total of five goals while conceding just one, indicating their dominance in recent head-to-head matchups.

• Nottingham Forest's last away victory against Tottenham Hotspur dates back to 1997, highlighting a significant psychological barrier that may affect their performance in this upcoming match.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/7

The primary recommendation of over 2.5 goals is underpinned by an 84.4% probability, making it a strong value option. Historical data supports this, with an average of 2.6 goals scored in previous meetings between Tottenham and Nottingham Forest. Tottenham have been prolific at home, averaging 2 goals per match, while Nottingham Forest contribute 1.86 goals per away fixture. This suggests both sides are likely to play their part in a high-scoring encounter. Tottenham's defensive frailties—having conceded in each of their last 10 matches—further enhance the likelihood of a goal-filled fixture.

Secondary bet: Home Win @ 6/4

The secondary bet of a Tottenham home win is supported by their solid historical record against Nottingham Forest, with 4 wins from the last 8 home meetings and no defeats in the last 5. While Tottenham have faced recent challenges, their 52.88% probability of victory highlights their advantage in this matchup. Nottingham Forest's poor form, with just 1 win in their last 5 Premier League fixtures against Tottenham, adds further weight to this selection. Despite inconsistency on both sides, Tottenham's home dominance in this fixture makes this bet a compelling option.