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Nottm Forest vs Leicester: 76% Chance of Over 2.5 Goals in Premier League Showdown

Uncover why clashes between the Reds and the Foxes at City Ground so often end in thrilling 2-2 draws, and leverage key stats to fuel your Premier League betting strategy for Sunday’s showdown.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 07:00, 10 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Nottm Forest
X
Leicester

Nottingham Forest and Leicester City are set to face off this Sunday in a Premier League match. Forest, currently sixth in the league standings, are aiming for European qualification, while Leicester, positioned 19th, are fighting to avoid relegation. The 13-point gap between the two sides highlights their contrasting ambitions.

Historically, Nottingham Forest have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. Leicester's last victory at the City Ground occurred in 2013, and they have struggled on the road this season, remaining winless in their last seven away matches. Forest's strong home form, averaging 1.27 goals per game, contrasts with Leicester's difficulties, having failed to score in seven of their 17 away fixtures. With an average of 3.8 goals per game in this matchup, fans can anticipate an exciting and high-scoring contest.

Key players are expected to influence the outcome significantly. Chris Wood, Forest's leading scorer with 19 goals, leads their attack, while Jamie Vardy, despite a challenging season, remains Leicester's primary threat with eight goals. Forest's tendency to score early, with 21% of their goals coming in the opening 15 minutes, could be decisive against a Leicester defense that has struggled, as reflected in their -47 goal difference.

Nottm Forest - Leicester Key Facts

  • Nottm Forest have an impressive home record against Leicester, remaining unbeaten in their last three encounters at home, which is crucial for punters considering Nottm Forest's strong home advantage in this fixture.

  • Leicester are winless in their last seven away matches, highlighting their struggles on the road and making it a significant factor for bettors assessing their likelihood of success in this match.

  • Nottm Forest have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match against Leicester, while Leicester averages only 1.6 goals against Nottm Forest, indicating a strong attacking trend for the home side that could influence betting on total goals.

Nottm Forest vs Leicester Betting Predictions

Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/6

Nottingham Forest and Leicester City have consistently delivered high-scoring fixtures, averaging 3.8 goals per match in their previous meetings. Nottingham Forest’s home scoring rate of 1.27 goals per match, combined with Leicester’s away average of 0.96, points towards a strong potential for goals. Furthermore, Forest have conceded in each of their last five matches, while Leicester’s defensive frailties on the road add further weight to the over 2.5 goals market. With a calculated probability of 76.02% and historical trends supporting this outcome, this bet presents excellent value.

Secondary bet: Home Win @ 1/3

For the secondary bet, Nottingham Forest’s home advantage and historical dominance over Leicester make a home win an attractive option. Forest have claimed victory in 7 of their last 15 home fixtures against Leicester and are unbeaten in their last three meetings. Although Forest are currently on a three-match home losing streak, Leicester’s dismal away form—failing to secure a win in their last seven away matches—provides a compelling counterbalance. This combination of Forest’s historical success and Leicester’s ongoing struggles on the road strengthens the case for backing a Nottingham Forest win.

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