The Estadi de Son Moix sets the stage for a LaLiga encounter this Saturday, 10 May, as Mallorca take on Real Valladolid in a match laden with significance. Mallorca, currently 10th on 44 points, aim to consolidate their mid-table standing, while Valladolid, rooted to the bottom with just 16 points, are fighting desperately to keep their survival hopes alive. With Valladolid enduring a dismal 12-match losing streak on the road, the odds appear heavily against them, but the stakes could spark a spirited contest.
The recent form of both sides tells a contrasting story. Mallorca have been inconsistent, managing just one win, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Valladolid, however, are in freefall, with a seven-match losing streak and a defence that has conceded in each of their last 15 games. Key players could prove decisive, with Vedat Muriqi, Mallorca’s top scorer on seven goals, and Mamadou Sylla, Valladolid’s leading marksman with five, both pivotal to their teams’ fortunes. Notably, Mallorca’s knack for scoring 29% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes could expose Valladolid’s defensive frailties.
Historically, these sides are evenly matched, with 16 wins apiece in their last 40 meetings. However, Mallorca boast a stronger record at the Son Moix, winning 10 of their last 19 home clashes against Valladolid. The most frequent scoreline in these fixtures is a tight 1-0, suggesting another closely fought battle. Yet, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in their encounters, moments of attacking brilliance remain a distinct possibility.
Mallorca - Valladolid Key Facts
Valladolid are enduring a dire run, having lost their last 12 away matches in La Liga, which significantly undermines their confidence and makes them a risky bet for any away fixtures.
Mallorca have a strong home advantage against Valladolid, winning 10 of their last 19 home encounters, which suggests a high likelihood of them securing points in this matchup.
Valladolid have failed to score in 6 of their 17 away matches this season, indicating a concerning lack of attacking threat that could heavily influence the outcome of the game.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Home Win @ 1/3
Mallorca’s impressive home record, combined with Valladolid’s woeful away form, makes a home win the standout selection. Mallorca have triumphed in 10 of their last 19 home fixtures against Valladolid, while the visitors have endured a torrid run, losing their previous 12 away matches in LaLiga. Adding to this, Mallorca’s recent performances have been far superior, with stronger results in their last five matches compared to Valladolid, who are currently on an eight-match losing streak. With a 61.7% probability and odds of 1/3, this bet offers reliable value, reflecting the stark disparity in form and historical head-to-head results.
Secondary bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens
For the secondary bet, over 2.5 goals at Evens presents a strong opportunity. Historically, meetings between these sides average 2.8 goals, and both teams have struggled defensively, conceding in each of their last 15 matches. Mallorca average 1.05 goals per home fixture, while Valladolid manage 1.35 goals on their travels, suggesting both teams are likely to contribute to the scoreline. With a probability of 72.73%, this bet aligns with the statistical trends and highlights the defensive frailties of both teams, making it a valuable option for punters.
