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Leicester vs Southampton predictions & betting tips

Uncover the key stats behind Leicester’s 12 home wins in 24 meetings with the Saints and leverage our expert Premier League betting insights before Saturday’s clash at King Power Stadium.

Sporticos By Sporticos, Team
Published: 10:00, 2 May 2025
Sporticos

Who will win?

Leicester
X
Southampton

The King Power Stadium will host a Premier League showdown this Saturday as Leicester City take on Southampton in a battle for survival. Both sides are mired in the relegation zone, with Leicester languishing in 19th on 18 points and Southampton rooted to the bottom with just 11. Neither team has managed a win in over ten matches, intensifying the stakes as they fight to preserve their top-flight status. A victory for Leicester could offer a vital lifeline, while Southampton desperately need to overturn their woeful away form.

Leicester hold the historical edge in this fixture, with 20 wins from 49 meetings. The Foxes are unbeaten in their last three encounters with Southampton, including a narrow one-goal triumph in their most recent clash. Home advantage could play a role, as Leicester have often fared well against the Saints at the King Power. However, with just two wins from 17 home matches this season, their current struggles raise doubts about their ability to capitalise on past dominance.

Both teams have endured difficulties at both ends of the pitch, with Leicester’s goal difference at -49 and Southampton’s at -55. Jamie Vardy, Leicester’s top scorer with seven goals, will be key to ending their nine-match home scoring drought. Meanwhile, Paul Onuachu, Southampton’s leading marksman with four goals, will look to exploit Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities. Notably, Leicester tend to strike 30% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, while Southampton often find late opportunities, scoring 25% of their goals in the final 15 minutes.

As the relegation battle heats up, this fixture could have far-reaching implications for both clubs’ Premier League futures. With an average of 3.8 goals per game in their past meetings, supporters can anticipate an action-packed contest. Will Leicester finally break their winless streak, or can Southampton pull off a season-defining upset?

Leicester - Southampton Key Facts

  • Leicester have not won in their last 11 matches, indicating a significant decline in form that could influence betting decisions, particularly for those considering a bet on Leicester to win.

  • Southampton have not won any of their last 10 matches, which suggests a similar struggle for form, making it risky to bet on them for an away victory.

  • In their last five encounters, Leicester have won three times against Southampton, highlighting a historical advantage that may sway punters towards Leicester despite their current poor form.

Betting Predictions

Primary bet:Over 2.5 goals@ 8/11

Leicester City and Southampton's defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with their historical scoring patterns, make this fixture a prime candidate for goals. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at an impressive 86.53%, bolstered by an average of 3.8 goals across their previous encounters. Both teams have been consistently leaky at the back, with Leicester conceding in their last 29 matches and Southampton in their last 14. Additionally, Leicester average 1 goal per home match, while Southampton score 1.33 goals per away fixture, further reinforcing the value of the primary bet.

Secondary bet:Both Teams To Score: Yes@ 8/13

The secondary bet, Both Teams To Score: Yes, is equally appealing with a 65.11% probability. While Leicester have failed to score in 9 of their 17 home matches this season, Southampton's defensive frailties significantly increase the chances of both sides finding the net. Both teams are desperate to end lengthy winless streaks—Leicester at 11 matches and Southampton at 10—which could result in an open, attacking contest. With strong statistical backing and favourable odds, both betting options present excellent value in what promises to be an entertaining clash.

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