The King Power Stadium will host a crucial Premier League showdown on Monday, 7 April 2025, as Leicester City take on Newcastle United. For Leicester, rooted in 19th place with just 17 points from 29 matches, this fixture is a lifeline in their battle against relegation. Newcastle, meanwhile, sit sixth with 47 points from 28 games, firmly in the hunt for European qualification. With both sides chasing vital objectives, the stakes could hardly be higher.
Leicester’s season has been nothing short of disastrous. A run of five straight defeats has left the Foxes in deep trouble, with a woeful goal difference of -40 exposing their defensive frailties. Despite the presence of veteran striker Jamie Vardy, they have managed just four wins all season, struggling to turn chances into results. While playing at home might offer some respite, their recent form casts serious doubt on their ability to seize the opportunity.
Newcastle, by contrast, arrive in strong form. With three wins from their last five matches, the Magpies have showcased both consistency and attacking quality, underlined by their positive goal difference of nine. Callum Wilson has been a standout in attack, while Bruno Guimarães continues to pull the strings in midfield. Having scored 14 more goals than Leicester this season, Newcastle’s firepower could prove decisive against a fragile Foxes defence.
The head-to-head record adds further intrigue. Newcastle have won five of the last 11 meetings, with Leicester claiming four victories. However, the Foxes have failed to beat the Magpies in their last five encounters, a psychological hurdle they must overcome. With Leicester fighting for survival and Newcastle chasing European ambitions, this clash promises high drama and could have far-reaching implications for both clubs’ seasons.
Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5
Leicester’s defensive frailties combined with Newcastle’s attacking prowess make "Over 2.5 goals" an enticing selection, with an 81.8% predicted probability based on current form. Leicester have struggled to keep clean sheets at home, conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures, while Newcastle have been clinical in front of goal, finding the net in nearly every match this season. Historical encounters between these sides further support this bet, as they frequently produce high-scoring affairs, reflecting their shared preference for open, attacking football.
Secondary bet: Away Win @ 1/2
For a more conservative approach, backing Newcastle to win at 1/2 provides strong value, supported by a 57.48% predicted probability of success. Newcastle have triumphed in three of their last five meetings with Leicester, underlining their dominance in this fixture. Leicester’s inconsistent home performances, coupled with Newcastle’s determined push for European qualification, strengthen the case for an away win. While Leicester may offer resistance, Newcastle’s recent league form suggests they are well-positioned to secure all three points.
