The Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi will host a relegation battle this Sunday, 11 May 2025, as Hellas Verona take on Lecce at 14:00. With just two points separating the sides, this fixture could be decisive in their fight for Serie A survival. Verona currently sit 15th in the table, while Lecce hover precariously in 17th, just above the drop zone. Both teams are in desperate need of a turnaround—Verona have lost their last three matches, while Lecce are winless in 12, heightening the stakes.
Verona’s home record against Lecce offers some encouragement, with five wins from their last ten meetings at the Bentegodi. However, Lecce’s 1-0 triumph in their most recent encounter may give the visitors a psychological boost. Despite Verona’s historical edge, their failure to score in their last four matches is a significant concern, particularly against a Lecce defence that has conceded in ten consecutive games. With an average of 1.8 goals per match in their head-to-head history, this clash could once again be a tight, low-scoring affair.
Key players will be under the spotlight to make the difference. Verona’s Casper Tengstedt, who has six goals this season, must rediscover his form, while Nikola Krstovic, Lecce’s leading scorer with ten goals, will aim to capitalise on Verona’s defensive frailties. Both teams share a goal difference of -33, highlighting their defensive struggles. Midfielders Darko Lazovic for Verona and Thorir Johann Helgason for Lecce could also play pivotal roles in shaping the outcome.
A win here could be transformative. For Verona, it would end their losing streak and restore belief. For Lecce, three points could reignite their campaign and pull them further from danger. With survival at stake, this promises to be a tense, dramatic encounter with potentially season-defining consequences.
Verona - Lecce Key Facts
Verona have an impressive home record against Lecce, remaining unbeaten in their last three encounters at home, which could indicate a strong likelihood of a home win for punters.
Lecce are currently on a dismal run, having not won any of their last 12 matches, suggesting a significant lack of form that could influence betting decisions in favour of Verona.
Despite Verona's recent struggles, they have only lost one of their last five Serie A matches against Lecce, highlighting a historical advantage that may sway betting odds towards the home side.
Verona vs Lecce Betting Predictions
Primary bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5
The primary recommendation of over 2.5 goals is underpinned by a compelling statistical probability of 69.65%, making this a strong value bet for a high-scoring fixture. Hellas Verona have averaged 1.09 goals per match at home this season, while Lecce’s defensive frailties are evident, having conceded in each of their last 10 matches. Although previous meetings between these sides have averaged a modest 1.8 goals, the current dynamics suggest a shift. Lecce’s defensive struggles, combined with Verona’s urgency to end a four-match scoring drought, point towards an open and potentially high-scoring contest.
Secondary bet: Home Win @ 23/20
The secondary bet on a Verona home win is supported by their historical edge in this fixture, with five wins from their last 10 home matches against Lecce and an unbeaten record in their last three home encounters. Lecce’s form is a major concern, as they are winless in their last 12 matches, further highlighting their struggles. While Verona have endured a three-match losing streak, their home advantage and Lecce’s lack of attacking threat create a favourable scenario for the hosts to secure all three points. Both bets offer excellent value given the current form and statistical context of the teams.
