VfB Stuttgart vs Heidenheim predictions & betting tips

The Mercedes-Benz Arena is set to host a Bundesliga match this Friday as Stuttgart face Heidenheim in a game with significant implications for both teams. Stuttgart, currently 11th with 41 points, aim to stabilise their performance and avoid further decline in the table. Conversely, Heidenheim, positioned 16th with only 22 points, are in a must-win situation to maintain their survival hopes. This clash promises to be intense, with both sides desperate for points.

Recent form highlights the contrasting trajectories of the two teams. Stuttgart has shown moments of promise, achieving two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. In contrast, Heidenheim has struggled, enduring three consecutive defeats without scoring. Their away form has been a persistent issue, while Stuttgart's strong home record, averaging 2.24 goals per match, could be a decisive factor.

The historical record also favours Stuttgart. They have won nine of their last 15 encounters with Heidenheim, with a 30-20 goal difference in these matches. Heidenheim's last away victory in this rivalry occurred in 2016, and they have not won in their previous four visits to the Mercedes-Benz Arena. This history provides Stuttgart with a psychological advantage and adds pressure on Heidenheim's struggling squad.

Key players are expected to influence the outcome of this match. Stuttgart's Ermedin Demirovic, with 13 goals this season, remains a constant threat, especially in late-game situations where the team scores 23% of their goals. With seven goals for Heidenheim, Marvin Pieringer will be crucial in their fight for survival. Considering Stuttgart's home advantage and Heidenheim's scoring difficulties, this high-stakes encounter could significantly impact the relegation battle.

Stuttgart - Heidenheim Key Facts

• Stuttgart have an impressive home record against Heidenheim, remaining unbeaten in their last four encounters at home, which is crucial for punters considering Stuttgart's strong home advantage in this matchup.

• Stuttgart have won 9 out of the last 15 meetings against Heidenheim, with a goal difference of 30-20, indicating their historical dominance and making them a reliable choice for bettors.

• Heidenheim are currently on a three-match losing streak and have failed to score in their last three matches, suggesting a lack of form that could heavily influence the outcome of the upcoming fixture.

Betting Predictions

Primary Bet: Home Win @ 12/25

Stuttgart's impressive track record against Heidenheim makes a "home win" the standout choice. Stuttgart have triumphed in three of their last five home fixtures against Heidenheim and remain unbeaten in their last four meetings on home soil. Furthermore, Stuttgart boast a 66% win rate when leading 1-0 at home, highlighting their ability to maintain control once ahead. Despite sitting 11th in the Bundesliga table, their historical dominance over Heidenheim, combined with Heidenheim's current three-match losing streak in the league, strongly supports this selection.

Secondary Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/2

The secondary bet of "over 2.5 goals" is underpinned by an 83.38% probability, with past encounters between these sides averaging three goals per match. Stuttgart's attacking strength at home, where they average 2.24 goals per game, adds further weight to this prediction. While Heidenheim have struggled offensively, failing to score in their last three matches, their defensive frailties and Stuttgart's consistent scoring form suggest a high-scoring fixture is likely. Both bets offer excellent value, backed by compelling statistical trends and the current form of both teams.